TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ff8…a9c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
27
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.12
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.44
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.26
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49.95
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.47
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.49
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.15
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.23
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.06
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$94.13
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$97
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+93.7%+$286.61
Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.92
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 23.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$102.73
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$373.01
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$112.58
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$50.96
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$38.25
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.8
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.83
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$48.49
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.51
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+73.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$42.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.