NFL · resolved market
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1e8774bbe9028296cd9bf51eb78755f44893b940a952d26c9c78febc8452a7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 68c | 6,296$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,276.76 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f7…4899backed Yes | 68c | 5,500$3,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,740 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 51c | 4,853$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.64 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 43c | 3,695$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.81 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 68c | 3,268$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.65 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 61c | 3,241$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.81 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 36c | 2,979$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.22 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 38c | 2,893$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.45 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 61c | 2,775$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.33 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…8382backed Yes | 44c | 2,756$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 50c | 2,703$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.54 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1d12backed No | 42c | 2,542$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 63c | 2,058$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.74 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5796…decdbacked Yes | 57c | 1,785$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 69c | 1,780$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 17c | 1,764$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Yes | 68c | 1,637$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.67 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 45c | 1,635$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.81 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4541…30d3backed Yes | 9c | 1,525$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 49c | 1,490$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.29 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Yes | 51c | 1,430$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.09 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 32c | 1,388$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.36 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 50c | 1,276$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ca…b27abacked Yes | 59c | 1,264$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.35 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 45c | 1,216$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b61…599cbacked Yes | 62c | 1,127$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes | 63c | 1,106$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.94 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76a…c797backed Yes | 74c | 1,100$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 51c | 1,084$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.9 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…1338backed Yes | 52c | 954.95$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…8f8cbacked Yes | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…a82fbacked Yes | 68c | 846.99$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3988…7ae9backed Yes | 50c | 839.23$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…04a9backed Yes | 42c | 806.57$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.8 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Yes | 70c | 715.88$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 29c | 712.15$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.41 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabdb…3114backed Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 50c | 665$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked Yes | 48c | 627.19$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.3 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279e…8f57backed Yes | 10c | 573.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff8…a9c1backed Yes | 58c | 568.37$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 61c | 548$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…8974backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…3ba7backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae1…7a4dbacked Yes | 67c | 479.11$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.84 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…7865backed No | 36c | 465$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 51c | 458.49$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.27 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 51c | 446.11$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Yes | 70c | 443.54$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2437…d5c6backed Yes | 62c | 436.6$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…1362backed Yes | 52c | 436.02$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0885…bcdcbacked Yes | 72c | 419.08$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Yes | 45c | 400$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 49c | 385.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.89 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 32c | 383$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.44 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…28c3backed Yes | 51c | 378.18$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.68 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a454backed Yes | 55c | 375$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.25 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Yes | 52c | 355.06$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.63 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 42c | 354.36$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Yes | 48c | 350$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.18 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Yes | 67c | 349.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.5 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Yes | 56c | 348$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x149f…d306backed Yes | 66c | 338.25$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 35c | 325$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.72 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…82b9backed Yes | 66c | 304.08$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed No | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b54…abd2backed Yes | 74c | 297.01$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Yes | 80c | 288.94$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…5bc3backed Yes | 70c | 285.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4107…c4c5backed Yes | 68c | 285.42$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed No | 60c | 261.44$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.58 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…9e40backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x690d…e464backed Yes | 70c | 228.2$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 14c | 228.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.78 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…1abfbacked Yes | 71c | 227.49$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…62d6backed Yes | 56c | 226.7$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eff…8897backed No | 44c | 221.95$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f73…bb9ebacked Yes | 47c | 221.8$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x504e…8da8backed Yes | 42c | 214.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 33c | 202.75$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.04 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4684…d364backed Yes | 48c | 202.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…578fbacked No | 52c | 201.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Yes | 53c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Yes | 70c | 198.4$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…fc8fbacked Yes | 51c | 197.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…b306backed No | 27c | 195.79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +136.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…a634backed No | 45c | 195.56$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 35c | 192$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +227.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3af2…5212backed Yes | 69c | 191.44$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.09 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6e…670abacked Yes | 44c | 190.22$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…fa80backed No | 55c | 175$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9f…24cabacked Yes | 48c | 174.52$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Yes | 69c | 173$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c7…b87ebacked Yes | 71c | 172.09$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 24c | 166.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.49 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes | 57c | 164.91$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?this page
- Will Carson Beck be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
- Will Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
- Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?Yes won
- Will Drew Allar be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
- Will Fernando Mendoza be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
- Will Francis Mauigoa be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
- Will Garrett Nussmeier be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
- Will Jeremiyah Love be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
- Will Jordyn Tyson be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
- Will Reuben Bain Jr. be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
- Will Sonny Styles be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
- Will Ty Simpson be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.