TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0eff…8897

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
159
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4117.1%7 W · 34 L-6.2wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-53.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.68
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.86
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.43
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.96
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.88
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.07
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.04
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.34
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.94
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.11
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.81
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.75
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.42
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.56
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.26
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+198%+$83.91
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.28
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+201.7%+$20.4
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+151.6%+$38.48
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+144.1%+$40.82
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$464.97
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.93
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.32
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.85
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+843.3%+$412.97
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+416.6%+$249.37
Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+113.3%+$34.5
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.81
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.29
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.32
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.63
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+99.7%+$67.71
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+239.7%+$72.94
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.96
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.72
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+154.8%+$50.3
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.34
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.37
All 21 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+346.7%+$239.37
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.2
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.45
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.41
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.68
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.4
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$146.4
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+209%+$29.75
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.23
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.23
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$256.56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+303.9%+$127.96
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.08
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,121.77
All 18 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.1
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.88
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.33
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.19
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+168.4%+$34.59
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.05
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.13
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.62
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$28.57
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.22
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.25
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.52
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.49
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+114.4%+$96.54
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick26cpaid-55.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.8
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+344.9%+$185.1
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.86
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.49
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.86
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.71
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.21
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail Blazers backed Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.43
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.36
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.52
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-61.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+95.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.11
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$34.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.87
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+226.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gen.G win First Stand 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+226.6%+$112.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+128.8%+$124.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.