CS2 · resolved market
Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfefaf1876e4dc906d74c7c5f9241ec60edfe501a3bda4048b8722c52468e9fae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed No | 26c | 22,270$5,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,762.76 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked No | 35c | 10,677$3,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,726.4 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Yes | 59c | 9,349$5,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,847.25 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Yes | 56c | 8,794$4,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,869.42 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked No | 59c | 8,294$4,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,876.39 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Yes | 55c | 8,223$4,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,706.28 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 54c | 7,224$3,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,928.85 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Yes | 62c | 6,835$4,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.97 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Yes | 74c | 5,749$4,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.62 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Yes | 74c | 5,321$3,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.47 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes | 74c | 3,938$2,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.78 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed No | 55c | 3,450$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.8 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 66c | 3,394$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.52 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Yes | 45c | 3,005$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.16 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 31c | 2,939$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.58 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…5377backed Yes | 58c | 2,901$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.42 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 57c | 2,791$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.94 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +247.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…224bbacked Yes | 74c | 2,645$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Yes | 68c | 2,430$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.75 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed No | 30c | 2,406$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.88 | 252 | 52.8%133 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…ce96backed No | 27c | 2,253$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked Yes | 70c | 2,112$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.37 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Yes | 73c | 2,023$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.11 | 173 | 57.2%99 W · 74 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 35c | 1,931$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.9 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked No | 41c | 1,824$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.87 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba0…97bfbacked Yes | 53c | 1,745$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.58 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 45c | 1,615$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.34 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked No | 32c | 1,600$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 69c | 1,580$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.87 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 35c | 1,511$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.57 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 62c | 1,454$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.64 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf45…c508backed Yes | 60c | 1,400$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed No | 55c | 1,323$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.62 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Yes | 63c | 1,244$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.03 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 35c | 1,158$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.45 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…3e40backed Yes | 62c | 1,150$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…51f3backed Yes | 59c | 1,140$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.75 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312f…913cbacked No | 27c | 1,116$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.1 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed Yes | 59c | 1,098$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.51 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked No | 27c | 1,072$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.59 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…e933backed Yes | 62c | 1,039$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.44 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbe…95f3backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked No | 57c | 999.97$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.98 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 65c | 990.89$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.45 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…6b52backed No | 27c | 947.35$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.57 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x341f…b48bbacked Yes | 67c | 935$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.55 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…540cbacked Yes | 55c | 851.09$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.93 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba7…a833backed Yes | 75c | 837.25$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Yes | 60c | 834.2$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.08 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 48c | 812.63$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.57 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Yes | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…b6ecbacked Yes | 70c | 791.56$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.94 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked Yes | 67c | 730.5$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.07 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…44c3backed Yes | 56c | 725.39$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.3 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2562…eb9cbacked Yes | 65c | 717.99$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…3585backed Yes | 48c | 684.87$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed Yes | 44c | 667.08$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.88 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed No | 58c | 646.43$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.93 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…a796backed Yes | 69c | 641.51$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5039…51ccbacked Yes | 66c | 638.76$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8246…60d3backed Yes | 69c | 638.44$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846c…0366backed Yes | 64c | 606.18$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.71 | 189 | 63.5%120 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…3e93backed Yes | 73c | 603.14$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.26 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 41c | 602.59$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.27 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf076…4079backed Yes | 64c | 589.8$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c6…910ebacked Yes | 50c | 588.41$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 39c | 560.71$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.25 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 35c | 550.13$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.54 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed14…b7cfbacked Yes | 67c | 549.01$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf952…456abacked Yes | 62c | 517$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed No | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Yes | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked No | 26c | 499.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…d809backed Yes | 61c | 490.69$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…ed73backed Yes | 63c | 467.53$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.04 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…537cbacked Yes | 71c | 466.17$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b45…c593backed Yes | 42c | 459.62$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…b3d7backed Yes | 49c | 459.51$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.48 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da0…aa2fbacked Yes | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed Yes | 65c | 419.75$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.57 | 111 | 66.7%74 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80b9…cedcbacked Yes | 67c | 419.31$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.58 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked No | 24c | 390.28$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba1…cf36backed Yes | 58c | 389.92$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e42…5856backed No | 42c | 386.91$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.38 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 21c | 368$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eda…65fbbacked Yes | 63c | 360$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 40c | 359.2$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.38 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…502ebacked Yes | 73c | 346.13$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…ec93backed Yes | 64c | 343.32$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.17 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49da…0f6abacked Yes | 77c | 319.68$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe976…ce2bbacked No | 32c | 301.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9370…9e88backed No | 55c | 299.97$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf764…78b8backed Yes | 56c | 298.68$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…a614backed Yes | 67c | 292.6$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 121 | 38%46 W · 75 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…6a5ebacked Yes | 64c | 292.03$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.83 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Yes | 68c | 287.65$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.46 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked Yes | 65c | 286.39$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.07 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed No | 37c | 284.22$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.67 | 625 | 38.6%241 W · 384 L | -16.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?this page
- Will 3DMAX win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will Aurora win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will FURIA win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will Falcons win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will G2 win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will Gentle Mates win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will HOTU win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will Legacy win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will MOUZ win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will Passion UA win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will RED Canids win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will Team Liquid win IEM Rio 2026?No won
- Will Team Spirit win IEM Rio 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.