Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b252df7e5281d8fb86888619f4ee1f5045c9f2aecb857d361819ca6522e4665
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,181,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,236,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,181,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 592 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7277…ab80backed Yes | 38c | 75,275$28,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,493.37 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71aa…2169backed Yes | 26c | 67,480$17,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,812.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 58c | 53,876$31,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,432.63 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73c0…26afbacked Yes | 34c | 51,200$17,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,356.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8f…d61bbacked No | 68c | 31,874$21,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,325.79 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5955…1efdbacked No | 66c | 24,750$16,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,390.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…a8b8backed No | 66c | 23,950$15,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,119.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…c4cabacked No | 74c | 22,750$16,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,006 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b1…e485backed No | 74c | 22,250$16,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,874 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370b…e352backed Yes | 7c | 22,052$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf58…59acbacked No | 74c | 20,450$15,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,398.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 61c | 19,015$11,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,334.66 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c79…1d00backed No | 14c | 14,056$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,152.89 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 7c | 11,590$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.11 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…9f7cbacked No | 24c | 10,784$2,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,190.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +315.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…bd88backed Yes | 10c | 10,776$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.08 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 70c | 9,242$6,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,453.75 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked No | 77c | 9,181$7,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.75 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 15c | 8,652$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,345.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +214.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81bc…fb58backed Yes | 9c | 8,372$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…fb79backed No | 51c | 8,265$4,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,069.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 66c | 8,126$5,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.95 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…de02backed No | 57c | 8,000$4,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,428 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0272…c77fbacked Yes | 45c | 6,800$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce89…6ea5backed No | 70c | 6,596$4,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…e175backed No | 69c | 6,548$4,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.95 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x540b…f584backed Yes | 43c | 6,200$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked No | 10c | 6,090$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,472.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 31c | 6,000$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 5,800$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 39c | 5,742$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,481.43 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…9e0fbacked Yes | 40c | 5,600$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc163…cdcfbacked Yes | 12c | 5,500$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…adb6backed No | 79c | 4,586$3,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.73 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b97…bc9cbacked Yes | 26c | 4,496$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.09 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 38cpaid | +276.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 4,491$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.77 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbce…0194backed No | 74c | 4,457$3,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…9989backed Yes | 1c | 4,386$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…22ffbacked Yes | 14c | 4,187$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.94 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 5c | 4,180$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990.65 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8b…65c4backed No | 61c | 4,000$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640a…1a17backed Yes | 40c | 4,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300a…cc93backed Yes | 38c | 4,000$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…5dbfbacked No | 63c | 4,000$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c4…60b8backed Yes | 50c | 4,000$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…f884backed No | 62c | 4,000$2,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…2fd7backed Yes | 37c | 4,000$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be1…6c6ebacked No | 51c | 4,000$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…6dffbacked Yes | 54c | 4,000$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…5951backed No | 56c | 4,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…38b8backed Yes | 47c | 4,000$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5725…d3f5backed No | 54c | 4,000$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f0…6362backed No | 51c | 4,000$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb0…12d7backed Yes | 50c | 4,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 80c | 3,770$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.33 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3536…9821backed Yes | 15c | 3,750$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac38…c565backed Yes | 9c | 3,636$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 4c | 3,309$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.81 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 48c | 3,235$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.79 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8121…5229backed Yes | 34c | 3,197$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…4e63backed Yes | 13c | 2,968$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…e051backed Yes | 6c | 2,932$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.68 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x527f…69a3backed No | 59c | 2,900$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee33…33f2backed Yes | 38c | 2,800$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…ab91backed Yes | 33c | 2,787$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8e…dd59backed No | 72c | 2,767$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.87 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,657$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…4f02backed Yes | 38c | 2,650$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…f948backed Yes | 40c | 2,523$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0c…f852backed No | 66c | 2,500$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…dd94backed Yes | 37c | 2,450$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…8d92backed Yes | 29c | 2,420$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…1882backed No | 61c | 2,400$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…fbe4backed Yes | 50c | 2,400$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb28d…91fabacked Yes | 46c | 2,400$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…7d29backed Yes | 50c | 2,400$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 69c | 2,385$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.73 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce4…57e1backed No | 51c | 2,300$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d68…bea5backed Yes | 38c | 2,300$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…413ebacked Yes | 47c | 2,289$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.73 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 2,235$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.56 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x087e…51c5backed No | 63c | 2,207$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.63 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.49per pick | 37cpaid | +186.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…174dbacked Yes | 50c | 2,200$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a26…3788backed No | 61c | 2,200$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2d…b8c5backed Yes | 49c | 2,200$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9f…09cbbacked Yes | 45c | 2,200$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d47ebacked Yes | 67c | 2,191$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b76…bf1dbacked Yes | 36c | 2,180$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.45 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…2803backed Yes | 13c | 2,166$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3a…f5dbbacked Yes | 16c | 2,161$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…5752backed Yes | 47c | 2,100$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…14efbacked No | 74c | 2,050$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988b…35aebacked No | 51c | 2,050$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a1…646fbacked Yes | 47c | 2,037$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc40e…ebf5backed Yes | 63c | 1,980$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.6 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -7.6wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…82c5backed Yes | 7c | 1,971$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.65 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984d…8c01backed Yes | 47c | 1,963$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 21c | 1,953$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.63 | 58 | 10.3%6 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…238dbacked No | 51c | 1,950$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 21c | 1,912$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.81 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.