Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad11f3ec2c661f9a5cae3b84b1deb00a15b577a8e68e133f09fa52215c7ba5c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $651,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $651,999 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7853…19b8backed No | 38c | 79,950$30,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,381 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…7697backed Yes | 62c | 26,800$16,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88eb…2792backed Yes | 62c | 26,650$16,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,127 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1db…dbe7backed Yes | 62c | 26,500$16,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,070 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…a910backed No | 0c | 11,227$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 61c | 10,503$6,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,139.06 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…b4cbbacked No | 20c | 10,012$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.54 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 2c | 6,900$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.38 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb89…a2e8backed No | 64c | 6,222$3,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,991.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 23c | 4,984$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.89 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…6c7cbacked Yes | 49c | 4,000$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e76…53f1backed No | 51c | 4,000$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 43c | 3,779$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.33 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 10c | 3,616$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.87 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b22…68e3backed No | 32c | 3,399$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.05 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…db70backed No | 1c | 3,077$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 19c | 3,060$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.19 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7277…ab80backed Yes | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…917dbacked Yes | 49c | 2,800$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…bd88backed No | 12c | 2,408$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.19 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 3c | 2,332$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 73 | 8.2%6 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 27c | 2,273$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.64 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…1616backed Yes | 50c | 2,200$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa56…4967backed No | 45c | 2,149$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes | 42c | 2,130$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.86 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…4594backed Yes | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.98 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed Yes | 47c | 1,903$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.56 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c37…81eebacked Yes | 50c | 1,800$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 19c | 1,745$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.87 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ee…590ebacked No | 6c | 1,409$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…70c1backed Yes | 48c | 1,372$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.24 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 60c | 1,340$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.96 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf98…d0bfbacked Yes | 29c | 1,289$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.27 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 14c | 1,216$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.06 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…0ac9backed Yes | 49c | 1,200$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…2411backed No | 28c | 1,156$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed Yes | 76c | 1,140$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.56 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…1d13backed No | 54c | 1,050$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.09 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…29dbbacked Yes | 52c | 1,013$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.11 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5c…c056backed Yes | 59c | 985.65$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.6 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 9c | 959.13$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.82 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…754ebacked No | 27c | 939.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.18 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…aaf1backed Yes | 73c | 927.7$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.61 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 3c | 925.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 165 | 16.4%27 W · 138 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…de3dbacked Yes | 69c | 916.79$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.98 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…8d64backed Yes | 29c | 906.22$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.28 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37af…db00backed No | 63c | 799.11$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 66c | 767.8$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.91 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 21c | 755.38$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.05 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 737$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Yes | 76c | 712.8$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +184.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10cc…7660backed Yes | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…8cfdbacked Yes | 41c | 699.97$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 52c | 655$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.16 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 45c | 644.64$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.96 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 27c | 631.84$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.36 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c26…7a7abacked No | 30c | 626.49$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.01 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked No | 19c | 600$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.89 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 24c | 563.16$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.25 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54af…a9efbacked Yes | 40c | 555.22$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 31cpaid | +151.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 17c | 544.38$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.17 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…d5f6backed No | 19c | 532.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 502.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…dd64backed No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b52…51e7backed No | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…f8e8backed No | 33c | 492.54$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.16 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…134fbacked No | 21c | 441.3$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.27 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 17c | 432.42$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.61 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed Yes | 73c | 416.91$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.52 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed Yes | 47c | 400.07$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.57 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 35c | 400$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed No | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed No | 3c | 400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…11d1backed Yes | 73c | 387.03$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb65…3115backed Yes | 43c | 379.59$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.39 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.41per pick | 32cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed Yes | 70c | 360$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 57c | 359.32$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +186%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 13c | 352.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2919backed Yes | 72c | 349.69$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.47 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa46f…d199backed No | 31c | 322.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 53c | 322.23$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.15 | 305 | 34.8%106 W · 199 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…68dbbacked Yes | 35c | 322.13$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…78dfbacked No | 63c | 319.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 39c | 319.25$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x501f…ef50backed No | 64c | 314.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…f748backed No | 18c | 309.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked No | 18c | 309$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +9.3wins | +0.32per pick | 33cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x48d9…e5d5backed No | 7c | 306.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7518…28babacked Yes | 66c | 300$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…e175backed Yes | 68c | 295.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.8 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…f570backed No | 30c | 291.8$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…7a9fbacked Yes | 40c | 290$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 52c | 283.54$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.44 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f75…550abacked No | 54c | 282.74$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 9c | 279$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f4fbacked No | 45c | 278.55$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 41cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed Yes | 64c | 277.36$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7302…d745backed Yes | 60c | 261$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…6b0bbacked Yes | 58c | 258.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 23c | 251.87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.