Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x898e9ff5045fcd05c26ea1e956d926c191d5aecae1bc184283c94e665f0f7be5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $353,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $353,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52d4…8388backed No | 0c | 48,520$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb89…a2e8backed No | 73c | 22,532$16,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,439.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked No | 1c | 16,441$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.47 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +261.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 28c | 7,630$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,465.08 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 66c | 6,791$4,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,464.1 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 71c | 6,667$4,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,755.25 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 61c | 6,205$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 62c | 5,821$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,595.16 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…b4cbbacked No | 64c | 4,839$3,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,086.89 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 20c | 4,700$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,773.03 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 26c | 4,555$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,361.05 | 294 | 36.1%106 W · 188 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5c…c056backed Yes | 30c | 3,546$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.44 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed No | 76c | 3,075$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.78 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81bc…fb58backed No | 58c | 3,074$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…07f3backed No | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 21c | 2,407$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.22 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed No | 63c | 2,400$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 38c | 2,371$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.02 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed Yes | 38c | 2,228$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.14 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed No | 69c | 2,198$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…7dc2backed Yes | 27c | 2,100$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…4594backed Yes | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 8c | 1,949$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.27 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 45c | 1,839$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8f…d61bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,793$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.62 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed No | 56c | 1,776$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.56 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,769$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.37 | 185 | 40.5%75 W · 110 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…30abbacked No | 48c | 1,746$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa56…4967backed No | 50c | 1,598$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes | 25c | 1,589$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba72…21aabacked Yes | 21c | 1,550$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +209.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…f459backed Yes | 41c | 1,549$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked No | 45c | 1,500$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 6c | 1,487$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.43 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…134fbacked No | 50c | 1,471$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.36 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 27c | 1,323$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.87 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 51c | 1,322$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.84 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 13c | 1,282$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.8 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…d13ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,241$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.88 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…c74dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,233$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.78 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -59%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 77c | 1,173$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.26 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 76c | 1,169$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.85 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 23c | 1,167$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.38 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 25c | 1,132$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.89 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…c5cdbacked Yes | 31c | 1,054$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked No | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 307 | 38.8%119 W · 188 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…e16dbacked Yes | 33c | 997.22$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.56 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…61abbacked Yes | 7c | 994.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +549.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e34…9434backed No | 69c | 922.64$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b00…d78bbacked No | 71c | 877.14$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.57 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…6c3cbacked Yes | 19c | 781.34$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 18c | 765.01$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.56 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 76c | 736.96$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.34 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…dfdabacked Yes | 15c | 706.22$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.29 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 10c | 700.39$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 198 | 7.1%14 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…15adbacked Yes | 13c | 655.01$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 8c | 641.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.17 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 27c | 641.37$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.35 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…0a7bbacked No | 73c | 620$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -3.5wins | -0.58per pick | 74cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd509…d6b7backed Yes | 27c | 600$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…0265backed Yes | 12c | 593.25$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.69 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 53c | 586$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.87 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…287dbacked No | 79c | 580$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…28bdbacked Yes | 32c | 564.11$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 27cpaid | +366.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 32c | 555$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.4 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 50c | 524.89$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.44 | 140 | 31.4%44 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…4716backed No | 61c | 520.72$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed No | 15c | 515.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.25 | 112 | 12.5%14 W · 98 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 48c | 514.78$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.92 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7e…b5d1backed Yes | 74c | 510.4$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…47e5backed No | 71c | 504$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.94 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 36c | 500$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +214.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf63e…d3afbacked Yes | 33c | 500$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a23…0e0cbacked Yes | 68c | 477.06$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…f19fbacked No | 66c | 454.54$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 59c | 449.98$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.99 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…7eabbacked No | 70c | 429.85$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.98 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 40c | 422.46$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked Yes | 19c | 420$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.2 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…02aabacked Yes | 16c | 401.03$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.87 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2178…aab5backed No | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b3…a039backed No | 6c | 400$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc91…b906backed Yes | 51c | 391.54$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 33c | 384.71$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.95 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed Yes | 39c | 383.2$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.67 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 14c | 381.63$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.57 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd1…1798backed No | 71c | 368.53$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…321dbacked Yes | 26c | 366.75$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed No | 67c | 356.89$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.03 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9728…0314backed No | 45c | 347$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x264b…cf7fbacked Yes | 19c | 335$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d77…89f5backed Yes | 11c | 314.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 13cpaid | +216.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 23c | 302.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.31 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked No | 42c | 301.76$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.41 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…c84dbacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 54c | 293$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.72 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8703…099abacked No | 63c | 290$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.