Movies · resolved market
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c2c7effd44d8f8fdbe4c21a8cff81608109832750b007d0cad2c86b75db1033
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $297,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $218,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d8b…1fb1backed Yes | 0c | 29,037$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Yes | 0c | 15,535$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8008…190ebacked Yes | 7c | 11,163$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…a036backed Yes | 1c | 10,783$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 1c | 9,332$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f77…37c0backed Yes | 0c | 5,609$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…1ab2backed Yes | 0c | 5,497$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c5…0064backed Yes | 0c | 5,322$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 21c | 5,227$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.8 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 28c | 4,266$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.85 | 69 | 17.4%12 W · 57 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb413…1cb7backed Yes | 11c | 4,226$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.43 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…3c33backed Yes | 1c | 4,075$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…3f24backed Yes | 1c | 3,758$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43b…2a91backed Yes | 0c | 3,612$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4352…c794backed Yes | 1c | 3,488$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c47…c5a1backed Yes | 2c | 3,236$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 6c | 3,130$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.27 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee8…3b5ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,801$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…69ecbacked Yes | 3c | 2,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 2,025$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 123 | 1.6%2 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…6069backed Yes | 6c | 1,964$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…c738backed Yes | 15c | 1,960$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.36 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 80c | 1,932$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.46 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Yes | 8c | 1,888$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed No | 50c | 1,873$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.6 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 1,609$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19db…7636backed Yes | 3c | 1,313$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,266$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8caf…3545backed Yes | 1c | 1,238$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,143$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,114$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 64 | 4.7%3 W · 61 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e90…1c09backed No | 60c | 1,075$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…2dcebacked No | 53c | 1,053$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.31 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…c2acbacked No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…e479backed Yes | 5c | 913.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…317fbacked Yes | 8c | 812.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 75 | 8%6 W · 69 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046a…bb9dbacked Yes | 7c | 701.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 76c | 682.8$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.47 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 75c | 596.57$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.25 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…ba97backed Yes | 2c | 578.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a43…178bbacked Yes | 9c | 571.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 19c | 517.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 9c | 500.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes | 19c | 500$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…52fbbacked No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Yes | 9c | 449.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab4…404abacked Yes | 8c | 433.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3634…2fefbacked Yes | 7c | 405.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Yes | 25c | 403.96$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 16c | 387.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.53 | 118 | 25.4%30 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 3c | 379.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…b11fbacked Yes | 11c | 357.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800d…628ebacked Yes | 33c | 336.96$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed No | 61c | 325.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.73 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02de…5e74backed Yes | 10c | 320$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…e7c8backed No | 62c | 304.19$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 30c | 279.72$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.14 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 32c | 262.52$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 138 | 20.3%28 W · 110 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…f0f0backed Yes | 25c | 231.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 24c | 229.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…f673backed Yes | 9c | 225$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +242.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a5…c111backed Yes | 5c | 223$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6716…95cdbacked Yes | 6c | 211.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fb…7f7bbacked No | 64c | 210.94$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…b306backed No | 71c | 204$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe664…bfb3backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…2a2ebacked Yes | 50c | 199.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4471…3f7bbacked Yes | 7c | 195$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…7865backed Yes | 42c | 184.27$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.62 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1812backed No | 57c | 184$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…7c5dbacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…35e5backed No | 56c | 157.9$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…2ac1backed Yes | 38c | 157$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa214…0e25backed Yes | 27c | 151.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 74c | 135.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 38c | 133.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 30c | 131.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked No | 76c | 128$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6b…b451backed Yes | 14c | 110.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…3edabacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…4580backed Yes | 43c | 98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d7fbbacked Yes | 32c | 92.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 20c | 90.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a04…2310backed Yes | 43c | 86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…02ddbacked No | 60c | 85.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eff…8897backed Yes | 19c | 81.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…8a12backed No | 75c | 81.33$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed Yes | 28c | 81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88bb…8d2cbacked No | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fa…4f2dbacked No | 73c | 75.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…d677backed No | 51c | 75.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f9…cf15backed Yes | 23c | 73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed No | 63c | 72.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?this page
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?Yes won
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?No won
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?No won
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.