World Politics · resolved market
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf480b4ea858af172baf1d8c4d2d0281ee8d2694ed9f40b12b3630c5328dfb3f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,794,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,555,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,794,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 5,539 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cb2…761abacked Yes | 10c | 54,020$5,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,482.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 49,608$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.89 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…e36fbacked Yes | 47c | 44,659$21,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,108.65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 68c | 32,072$21,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,305.95 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…e368backed No | 49c | 30,279$14,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,516.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 47c | 28,999$13,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,521.07 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…7aa3backed No | 50c | 27,606$13,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,874.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 51c | 25,496$12,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,989.97 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +8.3wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x061f…9581backed Yes | 2c | 21,694$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa656…0a64backed Yes | 48c | 21,040$10,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,058.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 59c | 19,075$11,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,727.34 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 66c | 17,689$11,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100.28 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5025…dd30backed Yes | 69c | 17,226$11,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,819.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…77f8backed Yes | 48c | 16,927$8,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,069.75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a3…7739backed Yes | 45c | 15,522$7,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,007.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e33…0187backed Yes | 55c | 15,519$8,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,589 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked Yes | 1c | 12,399$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 25c | 11,666$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.55 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…3bd3backed Yes | 19c | 11,638$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…6226backed Yes | 12c | 11,464$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…3242backed Yes | 45c | 11,433$5,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,143.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2248…ab72backed Yes | 2c | 11,199$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 49c | 11,101$5,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,624.75 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3a…4188backed Yes | 1c | 10,514$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…560bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,338$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a9…7964backed No | 53c | 10,334$5,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,904.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ac…d6bebacked Yes | 47c | 9,388$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 43c | 9,304$4,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,026.55 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5334…1db6backed Yes | 13c | 9,099$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6d…5ffbbacked Yes | 1c | 8,353$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed Yes | 45c | 8,253$3,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,747.3 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…49f9backed No | 50c | 8,119$4,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,065.56 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.52per pick | 34cpaid | +219.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbf…d9d1backed Yes | 10c | 8,063$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…2a21backed Yes | 1c | 7,791$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9915…3704backed Yes | 28c | 7,718$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…70f7backed Yes | 53c | 7,639$4,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,069.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 49c | 7,432$3,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,674.24 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd849…6d37backed Yes | 1c | 7,344$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…4b63backed Yes | 4c | 7,284$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…ad6bbacked Yes | 78c | 7,210$5,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,596.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 73c | 7,200$5,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,253.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…e7bebacked No | 56c | 6,980$3,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.79 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +405.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…01babacked Yes | 44c | 6,916$3,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,026.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 49c | 6,516$3,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,162.47 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…2fd7backed Yes | 46c | 6,500$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…35aebacked Yes | 33c | 6,500$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 45c | 6,472$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,931.59 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…1416backed No | 49c | 6,069$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…00f4backed Yes | 47c | 6,026$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,813.19 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 52c | 5,994$3,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,896.36 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…a615backed Yes | 49c | 5,834$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598e…7336backed No | 48c | 5,567$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,904.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd35…2bb6backed Yes | 48c | 5,177$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…4060backed No | 21c | 5,169$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,089.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +307.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa53c…67a5backed No | 47c | 5,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +540.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 45c | 4,775$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167.46 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 48c | 4,691$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.4 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +52%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce33…ffbbbacked Yes | 51c | 4,665$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…64ccbacked Yes | 49c | 4,605$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…a1efbacked No | 45c | 4,585$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b11…0eb1backed Yes | 48c | 4,542$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…ac80backed Yes | 46c | 4,526$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b13…5af4backed Yes | 32c | 4,238$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 8c | 4,088$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.04 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d9…6461backed Yes | 65c | 4,062$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…42a0backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2731…d51dbacked Yes | 43c | 4,000$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec01…f932backed Yes | 55c | 3,987$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…6342backed Yes | 22c | 3,947$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…a376backed Yes | 51c | 3,881$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb449…23fbbacked Yes | 41c | 3,811$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,806$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.57 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5283…52f0backed Yes | 2c | 3,783$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2251…25a0backed No | 49c | 3,726$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.88 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c8…d018backed Yes | 53c | 3,697$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed Yes | 1c | 3,643$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19fa…6790backed Yes | 2c | 3,554$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5267…548fbacked No | 48c | 3,475$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…763ebacked Yes | 49c | 3,467$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc4…1cc7backed Yes | 3c | 3,413$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 52c | 3,366$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.49 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 36c | 3,304$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.21 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Yes | 47c | 3,276$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b36…b101backed Yes | 48c | 3,157$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…ad07backed No | 20c | 3,132$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +401.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Yes | 1c | 3,130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d3…28aebacked Yes | 46c | 3,077$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 49c | 3,065$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.32 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa93c…abdfbacked Yes | 46c | 3,056$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…1fdabacked No | 24c | 2,869$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.06 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +249.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e5…0f2fbacked Yes | 69c | 2,779$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ec…9ca9backed Yes | 51c | 2,697$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…0efcbacked Yes | 1c | 2,657$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked Yes | 3c | 2,613$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +12.4wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +385.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 35c | 2,561$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.34 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7b…eabdbacked Yes | 7c | 2,502$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 52c | 2,479$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.71 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…f257backed Yes | 1c | 2,389$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…fbd5backed Yes | 48c | 2,365$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?this page
- Will the Bharatiya Gorkha Prajatantrik Morcha (BGPM) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Yes won
- Will the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.