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Tennis · resolved market

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miami Open?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,021
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,768

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,021 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa01f…16b9backed No30c12,894$3,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,817.250%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked No18c12,433$2,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,191.614434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Yes72c11,769$8,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,343.9311852.5%62 W · 56 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked No30c4,812$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.7513135.9%47 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked No23c4,264$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.3929028.3%82 W · 208 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No29c3,690$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.172119%4 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+92%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9764…c40cbacked Yes70c2,575$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.272552%13 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0ce…0a8ebacked Yes58c2,508$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.632334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a81…7debbacked Yes70c2,143$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.0414564.1%93 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No33c1,848$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.8160753.7%326 W · 281 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed Yes72c1,640$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.21553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No25c1,636$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.899043.3%39 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes70c1,500$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4492070%14 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No8c1,425$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.227,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed Yes59c1,421$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.218854.5%48 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes76c1,295$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.552750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c09…df0bbacked Yes77c1,131$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-34.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes75c1,120$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.0175748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0d…5d0cbacked Yes79c1,011$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.232213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-69.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36ed…4a93backed Yes70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+59%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8352…4f12backed Yes76c791.67$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.67933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87b9…b193backed Yes67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2725862.4%161 W · 97 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x694d…c5a4backed Yes68c699.98$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.997037.1%26 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa661…af49backed Yes72c699.83$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.8711248.2%54 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes46c684.55$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.694032.5%13 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xecb2…a30cbacked No8c606.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes72c599.99$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1666726.9%18 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked No26c576.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509556.8%54 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb15c…c161backed No32c550.58$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.6110340.8%42 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-49.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45cc…6400backed Yes67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1652437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked No26c483$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5847552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes46c466.67$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.528451.1%145 W · 139 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5713050.8%66 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No12c393.05$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.72147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Yes70c384.59$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.38757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes53c350.65$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.976526.2%17 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-36.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6944…3902backed No54c349.99$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.688662.8%54 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes63c318.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7833851.2%173 W · 165 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e4…ac2bbacked Yes70c317.57$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No9c305$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4519411.9%23 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e55…c88dbacked Yes66c302.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.511844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9346556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db3…b203backed Yes80c277.5$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed No26c274$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.244351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No21c266.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.531250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a46…196cbacked No10c265.73$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.574837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes67c265.63$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.72475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09f8…e156backed No55c264.18$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes47c254.01$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6322723.8%54 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed No26c246.15$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6418957.1%108 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes48c243.32$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.771315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-71.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed No27c229.57$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.151838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Yes46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1084940.8%20 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc31a…94f7backed No53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5291050.2%457 W · 453 L-20.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c8…0ed9backed No18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x503d…5ba3backed Yes74c199.86$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc135…4bdebacked No21c190$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad4…fa20backed No24c184.51$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d21…ca6dbacked No30c171.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c72…38cebacked Yes76c170.74$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No20c162.19$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed No7c160$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.544423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked No26c159$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.341833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed No26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3915748.4%76 W · 81 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2540264.4%259 W · 143 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65a7…a216backed Yes68c144.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.132948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b3f…994fbacked Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.897766.2%51 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c38…13b1backed Yes75c136.7$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.58966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+75.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x582d…c221backed Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dd…2297backed Yes76c131.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.317354.8%40 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1714…786dbacked Yes77c129.8$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce3a…2477backed No26c126$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.76955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x125f…b7e8backed Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259359.1%55 W · 38 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe16…5fa2backed No25c116$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292544%11 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No22c114.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3837330.3%113 W · 260 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked No25c112.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1712055.8%67 W · 53 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea12…993bbacked No24c110.51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8db…a828backed Yes74c107.08$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.72683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+49.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d25…81eebacked Yes69c105$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.51963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes72c104$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffc…c66fbacked Yes49c100.41$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.412965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8547…39abbacked No19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9777…3761backed No19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.85226.9%14 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-42.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b83…4687backed Yes75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4451…fcbebacked Yes75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6d3…a093backed Yes47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+67.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0bf…b759backed No54c99.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49bb…aaf9backed No53c99.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5340%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No17c98.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.931,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xe1e3…4f06backed No33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x616f…e14cbacked Yes70c88.57$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.571747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed No25c85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2582055%451 W · 369 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed No26c83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5864358.8%378 W · 265 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No27c81.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-42.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x544c…7029backed No27c75.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc2e…c1c4backed Yes78c75$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.75580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+64.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.