TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb5e4…ac2b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$34.25
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.6
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$26.5
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+61.3%+$19
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.9%+$24.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.4
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$16.6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+61.9%+$49.68
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.4
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.5
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$18
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100%+$65
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+143.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+124.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+156.4%+$54.9
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$19.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$10.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.