TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Santos FC win on 2026-02-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$402,473
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$428,674

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $402,473 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed No52c199,999$104,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104,815.9229446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Yes48c87,701$42,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,255.744544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes49c43,310$21,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,036.088,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No50c40,056$20,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,027.841850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes49c20,693$10,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,634.933,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes47c12,653$5,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,705.9923354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Yes49c11,633$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,932.656546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes49c9,200$4,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,71239853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes49c8,519$4,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,370.3737851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes48c7,996$3,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,125.9545253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No54c7,454$4,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,010.7616543.6%72 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Yes47c6,999$3,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,709.47650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes47c6,383$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,382.988351.8%43 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Yes45c5,883$2,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,252.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+67.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes47c5,703$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,022.594346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes74c4,783$3,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.1229747.1%140 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed No50c4,070$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.2340%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0403360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No50c3,146$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.2451749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No53c2,581$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.311,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed No55c2,572$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.071338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes46c2,508$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.214560%27 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes51c2,236$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.55,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes50c2,214$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.172,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Yes47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.662347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Yes45c2,111$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.59944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No51c2,034$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.35714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-53.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked No51c1,730$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.11675%12 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No38c1,668$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.9515424%37 W · 117 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No49c1,663$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8152751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes61c1,629$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.871,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd121…b0a5backed Yes40c1,490$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.34922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes47c1,356$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.885354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes34c1,178$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.663928.2%11 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes35c1,100$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.3999259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Yes60c1,076$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.261050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed Yes49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.412536%9 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No51c999.99$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51012750.4%64 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.549567.4%64 W · 31 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed Yes47c950$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.52070%14 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+43.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes50c928.34$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.8181651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes49c900$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.2512741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes47c875.6$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46212736.2%46 W · 81 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes46c869.57$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.5776951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Yes49c868.86$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.832646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f2…a822backed Yes50c860$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes47c850.79$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7447…c413backed Yes45c814.19$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.212744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No59c770.69$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.11,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3184953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No51c594.17$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.038452.4%44 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Yes37c581.08$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.083129%9 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-41.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No49c571.02$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.13951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc42…b12cbacked Yes47c531.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.911080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+35.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No52c504$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.084156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes42c490.22$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.8828651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54b4…f93bbacked Yes40c473.43$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+24.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes68c470.16$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.168569.4%59 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes49c453.06$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No11c440.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8984943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.782433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No48c424.98$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.91,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes47c417.02$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.0210155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes48c417$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.8417143.9%75 W · 96 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes49c400$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20621849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed No50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003378.8%26 W · 7 L+6.4wins+0.20per pick59cpaid+38.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Yes46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2163834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Yes46c398.34$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.13053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes47c380$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.8419239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5da…3f4fbacked Yes49c375.64$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf158…aa4bbacked Yes50c355.7$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.912171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Yes45c332$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.791241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb152…ef4cbacked Yes50c307.11$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.731258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes49c305$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.0517436.2%63 W · 111 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes33c300.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.9146530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No14c300$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.110442.3%44 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15912443.5%54 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa558…dc8cbacked Yes49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1532045%9 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4213…6940backed Yes47c299.55$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.761866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes46c297$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.118953.9%48 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No28c288.75$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5521132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x573c…c365backed No52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf965…9e79backed No53c279.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6860%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed No65c255.98$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.817450%37 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Yes47c255.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.321855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes47c253$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.6211334.5%39 W · 74 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.517055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes49c226.15$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.8335758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cfa…faa4backed Yes69c226.01$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.692268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes47c225$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6917542.3%74 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes35c223.58$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.1518733.2%62 W · 125 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ca…54f0backed Yes47c218.07$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.054261.9%26 W · 16 L+7.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+35.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked No27c216.87$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.393444.1%15 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+60.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb45…af4fbacked No49c208$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb792…fa38backed No57c205.82$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.322857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.085660.7%34 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.