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South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Santos FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,539
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,799

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,539 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb9b4…3111backed Yes21c3,657$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.7540%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c2,749$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.241,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No79c2,634$2,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.335,82145.4%2,642 W · 3,179 L+97.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No73c2,161$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.4737851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb88…8e33backed Yes43c1,595$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c1,402$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.458,17548.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L+27.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c1,373$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.633,44651.4%1,771 W · 1,675 L+21.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes19c1,244$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.4615424%37 W · 117 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9723354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89fd…da5dbacked Yes18c944.44$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No66c850.05$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.521,39352.6%733 W · 660 L+53.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes5c817.68$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.121132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No75c787.95$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.031,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No59c704$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.9999259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x36f1…847fbacked Yes42c635.69$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes21c580.95$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12246530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002825%7 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No72c424.27$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9681651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No75c408.91$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.161,55745.1%702 W · 855 L+19.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Yes28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1124037.5%15 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2078251%399 W · 383 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked No73c325.37$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.262646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No70c311.59$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.011,46556.8%832 W · 633 L+55.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes10c295.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304617.4%8 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick13cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1582834.5%286 W · 542 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes30c241.52$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5184943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x806b…5cd8backed Yes44c227.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.911747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes27c218.24$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.429956.6%56 W · 43 L+12.3wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes27c188.37$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5116534.5%57 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes26c179.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.821837.6%82 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes10c173.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3918140.3%73 W · 108 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7646…b2a1backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No77c172.38$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3220065%130 W · 70 L+18.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes23c172.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3281740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc773…d55cbacked Yes27c156.49$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7700…2d07backed Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No77c117$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0527842.4%118 W · 160 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c105.65$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.471,44251.9%748 W · 694 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed No79c101.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.657450%37 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.326050%30 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213041.5%54 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes21c99.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9771619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes21c94.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025925.1%65 W · 194 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes27c91.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3627348.7%133 W · 140 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf158…aa4bbacked No60c80.07$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.12171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked Yes28c75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a0…da0dbacked Yes27c74.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36c8…2925backed No75c72$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked No73c70.01$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.061573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+51.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No73c68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.365168.6%35 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes28c67.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920142.3%85 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes26c62.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2516347.9%78 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf08…f17ebacked Yes28c60.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No78c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0717436.2%63 W · 111 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a32…9875backed No79c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3773…57f9backed Yes27c59.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ea…1008backed Yes28c56.31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Yes23c56.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310826.9%29 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9468…dc7dbacked Yes28c54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1240%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1878…85e2backed No75c53.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51,70252%885 W · 817 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed No71c47.65$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.652133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Yes27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71ea…1ff9backed No64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes27c39.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6945452.9%240 W · 214 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ca…54f0backed Yes35c38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.414261.9%26 W · 16 L+7.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+35.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No76c37.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.841,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25c0…c187backed No64c31.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.383470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9311334.5%39 W · 74 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked No79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.38953.9%48 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked No79c27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6717542.3%74 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ce…fc99backed No80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x269f…c358backed No79c24.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.171050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No67c21.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.151,27156%712 W · 559 L+71.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeccb…991dbacked No73c21.49$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52a5…dd82backed No74c21.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2678…cef5backed No73c20.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f17…bf48backed No73c20.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed No79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40cd…c0a3backed No74c19.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0e…edc7backed No73c19.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dba…1f27backed No74c18.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a84…c4fcbacked No73c18.11$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.862462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98f7…813ebacked No73c18.07$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc954…0920backed No73c16.92$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick72cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No73c15.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1114954.4%81 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75e3…4bd5backed No74c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.93876.3%29 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedc6…05dfbacked No80c14.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.922650%13 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed No78c14.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.046448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51aa…10dabacked No79c13.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.81988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick77cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.