TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-02-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$136,787
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,763

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,787 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes25c88,085$21,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,869.5829446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No75c28,510$21,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,048.3823354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c8,441$6,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.148,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No74c7,098$5,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,845.483167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No75c5,839$4,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.0139853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No74c4,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.983360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No77c3,335$2,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.65,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No76c3,309$2,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.573,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c3,066$2,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.841,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No76c2,827$2,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.0137851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked No74c2,641$1,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.534346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No76c2,622$1,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.4545253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed No74c2,081$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.171533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No77c1,561$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.372,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes27c1,558$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.6612736.2%46 W · 81 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes16c1,302$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.524022.5%9 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf24e…080dbacked No75c1,290$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.392185.7%18 W · 3 L+4.9wins+0.23per pick62cpaid+37%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No79c1,177$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.7429747.1%140 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No75c1,115$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.754156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No80c1,100$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.0399259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes21c1,023$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.611,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes24c999.95$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9912750.4%64 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Yes26c972.6$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.283010%3 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-58.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb207…c751backed No74c949.93$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.98683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick70cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No75c900$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22512741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No78c870.85$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.11,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes29c803.9$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.921376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes25c521.89$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5815424%37 W · 117 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No76c500$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.517055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No76c400$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9821849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked No75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked No76c381.89$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8910155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes29c344.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002825%7 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes4c337.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.523,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No80c327.63$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.151,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No77c316.9$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.891,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No76c300$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.511459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked No78c298$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.412646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f7f…336fbacked Yes10c253.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No76c250$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7516347.9%78 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No74c249.99$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed No74c244.49$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.571942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes7c240.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1639127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Yes26c240.36$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.572133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No76c224$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.885160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbfb…ba4cbacked No76c212.63$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes23c188.37$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9716534.5%57 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No76c180$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.17055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ac…d145backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No75c177.28$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6910846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2702…a103backed Yes28c175$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes7c166.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8321132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No74c159$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1819239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No75c152.49$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1210158.4%59 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No74c141.01$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6627053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No76c135$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.419460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc73…888cbacked No78c134.78$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes12c133.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1613833.3%46 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes22c132$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4917436.2%63 W · 111 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No76c130.75$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3823542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a68…22dfbacked Yes26c130.7$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346415.6%10 W · 54 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes26c128.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0626749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Yes20c128$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.71241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes26c121.77$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.661921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11e9…ece2backed Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No76c115$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.67856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes27c111.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013228%37 W · 95 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa5…01b3backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013041.5%54 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae01…65d8backed Yes24c102$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd12e…27c2backed No74c100.61$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4147…e9a1backed No77c99.85$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No74c94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4427133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed No76c91.47$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.367450%37 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No76c90$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.63857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d11…0c08backed Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes21c81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9111334.5%39 W · 74 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd164…f17bbacked No75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes26c79.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4411155%61 W · 50 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes26c78.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.42842.9%12 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes14c78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9217542.3%74 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes25c77.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.932920.7%6 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207424.3%18 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No76c75$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185752.6%30 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Yes26c69.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked No76c65.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.632962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xabdf…9fe6backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No76c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.43959%23 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No76c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.45250%26 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No76c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.45151%26 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No76c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.45350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No76c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.45556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No76c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.46162.3%38 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No76c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.43759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No76c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.45453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No76c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.46962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No76c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.45560%33 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No76c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.45151%26 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.