South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-02-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x073842be01c45e7c4365ed79c6eec79334a6cd5385697fd868bb12374c852a1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 59c | 3,960$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.57 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…630cbacked Yes | 6c | 3,334$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 41c | 2,946$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.62 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 41c | 2,072$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.51 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 22c | 1,243$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.03 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 999.28$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.56 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Yes | 29c | 973.68$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 41c | 575.57$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 42c | 550$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 41c | 417.98$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.48 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…b227backed Yes | 20c | 375$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 41c | 340$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.4 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked No | 59c | 334$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.94 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 17c | 311.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…509cbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked No | 72c | 221.39$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af0…dd99backed No | 58c | 215.76$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 203.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 15c | 189.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 11c | 187.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 20c | 166.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Yes | 42c | 161.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 22c | 160$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 28c | 127$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 61c | 125.43$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 41c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…67bfbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…5408backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 38c | 94.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 41c | 89.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 59c | 69.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Yes | 22c | 61.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Yes | 20c | 57.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Yes | 25c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 41c | 51.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 46.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae1…165cbacked No | 64c | 45.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 57c | 37.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e4…ac2bbacked Yes | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed No | 79c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…9cb4backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-02-11?this page
- Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?No won
- Will EC Bahia win on 2026-02-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.