South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc607835b690e577d55df1dc393f0017516b1f969cc2c2887a9e5d110c16ac30f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 3,673$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.23 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 28c | 3,500$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.19 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…b227backed Yes | 29c | 3,143$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 2,327$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.84 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 1c | 1,078$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 69c | 1,048$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.78 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 29c | 1,030$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.54 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 1,028$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.33 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 959.26$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.16 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 26c | 949.29$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.91 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 31c | 679.99$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.93 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 11c | 541.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 533$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.24 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 28c | 359.35$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 72c | 357.14$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 29c | 347$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 73c | 328$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.56 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 20c | 327.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 30c | 321.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.54 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 68c | 318$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.76 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Yes | 3c | 316$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 26c | 303.85$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Yes | 29c | 275.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 260$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 23c | 247$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 27c | 240$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 72c | 210.06$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked No | 74c | 206.19$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 69c | 200.77$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 20c | 187.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 29c | 170$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 32c | 145.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 19c | 132$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 121.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 71c | 121$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…553dbacked No | 68c | 112.44$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…38a4backed Yes | 31c | 108.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -8.8wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 70c | 75.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 79c | 58.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 34c | 43.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 31c | 43.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 29c | 40.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…2833backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 69c | 23.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…0cd0backed No | 78c | 20.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9369…8b85backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe4…52d7backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e16…fe0abacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?this page
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-02-11?No won
- Will EC Bahia win on 2026-02-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.