World Politics · resolved market
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa144a1162c2b8cb1291201809b0873a68cd8b9133e881aae249da8cbf8830920
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc828…dbfabacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3afe…01d4backed Yes | 7c | 6,920$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.69 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…f3bbbacked Yes | 4c | 4,329$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…f818backed Yes | 20c | 3,257$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 14c | 3,054$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.96 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5869…071dbacked Yes | 19c | 2,804$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…7c74backed Yes | 9c | 2,700$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Yes | 21c | 2,460$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…1d4dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,241$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…a8a4backed Yes | 12c | 1,970$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…8df9backed Yes | 6c | 1,611$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…60e0backed Yes | 3c | 1,267$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfead…0d48backed Yes | 24c | 1,165$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90b…17e0backed Yes | 3c | 1,152$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…50b7backed Yes | 20c | 1,114$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0d2backed Yes | 28c | 1,088$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 7c | 1,085$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,036$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128b…7c4fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,021$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 991.22$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…a8cdbacked Yes | 4c | 966.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 13c | 917$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.88 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 7c | 778.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 14c | 763.22$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 78c | 716.61$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 21c | 712.6$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a1…c4e7backed Yes | 9c | 654.66$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbebe…72e1backed Yes | 14c | 643.58$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9465…d645backed Yes | 3c | 641.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ee…27cfbacked Yes | 16c | 638.65$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…8280backed Yes | 4c | 592.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f7…66aabacked Yes | 8c | 589.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb34…2065backed Yes | 14c | 588.88$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 80c | 583.02$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.69 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…afedbacked Yes | 4c | 556.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 19c | 521.15$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.01 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 75c | 506.34$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.68 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…53dabacked Yes | 20c | 503.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b67…525dbacked Yes | 13c | 495.72$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b5…ef7abacked Yes | 7c | 465.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x971b…a5e0backed Yes | 11c | 438.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d4…8264backed Yes | 24c | 434.76$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b06…e334backed Yes | 5c | 384.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…f534backed Yes | 8c | 370.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…18cdbacked Yes | 15c | 367.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…a664backed Yes | 4c | 366.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d8…b773backed Yes | 6c | 359.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 22c | 343.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…791dbacked Yes | 30c | 342.43$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…7b84backed Yes | 5c | 340$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…4b3cbacked Yes | 15c | 331$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked Yes | 14c | 329$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349d…155cbacked Yes | 22c | 320.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39da…24b9backed Yes | 8c | 310.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…2e35backed Yes | 20c | 301.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…cfc3backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e4…ac2bbacked Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca4…c467backed Yes | 14c | 295.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…18aebacked Yes | 6c | 290.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd25f…263abacked Yes | 52c | 288.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 9c | 267.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…d83fbacked Yes | 19c | 265.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf0…5a02backed Yes | 4c | 263.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa466…f630backed Yes | 7c | 248.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…6535backed Yes | 5c | 248.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked Yes | 19c | 246.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Yes | 12c | 246.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 9c | 241.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 10c | 232.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 18c | 226.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 6c | 215$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497d…944cbacked Yes | 14c | 214.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x458b…c051backed Yes | 13c | 209.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc788…ef49backed Yes | 16c | 206.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27a…1c07backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…12f1backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27a1…936bbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733a…538abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 77c | 193.6$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…a8c8backed Yes | 17c | 190$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…b535backed No | 79c | 184.91$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a54…89a5backed Yes | 17c | 179.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…762fbacked Yes | 17c | 166.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…0c5cbacked Yes | 26c | 158.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x342e…b4e0backed Yes | 16c | 157.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb395…97fbbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 19c | 150.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…75cfbacked Yes | 27c | 139.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd07f…10ffbacked Yes | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…7a2abacked Yes | 18c | 127.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…e899backed Yes | 12c | 120.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 11c | 118.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes | 19c | 118$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…9d0bbacked Yes | 18c | 109.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e3…024abacked Yes | 23c | 109.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 78c | 107.38$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb71…d3cebacked Yes | 35c | 105.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…b33cbacked Yes | 10c | 103.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248e…6c27backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?this page
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?Yes won
- Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.