World Politics · resolved market
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f351a6877d34ff9fc78dbd39b9461436cdd09d13fa52f3c89c252e686482ae0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked No | 26c | 3,320$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…f818backed Yes | 75c | 3,232$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.79 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 10c | 3,137$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.96 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…2606backed No | 5c | 2,926$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca8…91d9backed No | 10c | 2,108$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 5c | 1,655$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked No | 17c | 1,547$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.78 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…d48bbacked Yes | 75c | 1,541$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…8df9backed No | 6c | 1,361$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.65 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…04d8backed No | 1c | 1,288$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 5c | 1,155$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 21c | 1,138$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.19 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 6c | 1,068$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 6c | 1,047$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 17c | 986.09$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.63 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 11c | 870.9$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.71 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 3c | 750$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…df82backed Yes | 78c | 715.39$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 7c | 703.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 6c | 669$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…f3bbbacked No | 8c | 625.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9465…d645backed No | 4c | 492.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d3…4356backed Yes | 73c | 480$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 27c | 455.84$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 12c | 429.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 8c | 416.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…95c3backed Yes | 79c | 396.77$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6c6dbacked Yes | 74c | 355$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 7c | 313.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 11c | 302$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…93a4backed Yes | 71c | 301.1$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e4…ac2bbacked Yes | 77c | 256.33$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9123…cefbbacked No | 6c | 246.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 32c | 214.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 17c | 213.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 18c | 206$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd1…bef8backed Yes | 70c | 204$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9996…bda1backed No | 10c | 202.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 8c | 200.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…14e3backed No | 11c | 180.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248e…6c27backed No | 22c | 177.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f96…a226backed Yes | 77c | 169.21$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4088…0da3backed No | 25c | 168.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 22c | 163.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 79c | 149.76$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc409…3dc3backed Yes | 77c | 148.73$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 16c | 143.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 80c | 137.87$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 8c | 132.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dad…c5dabacked Yes | 76c | 130.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f20…1402backed Yes | 72c | 130$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa607…9209backed Yes | 73c | 123.41$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…f80fbacked Yes | 72c | 115.41$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 15c | 114.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 12c | 102.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d4…8264backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a45…4eecbacked No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…2addbacked Yes | 75c | 99.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked No | 15c | 98.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…20e2backed Yes | 75c | 98.51$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 75c | 96.45$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…1c4cbacked Yes | 69c | 90.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked No | 12c | 88.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed No | 12c | 88.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 33c | 87.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…abf7backed Yes | 77c | 87.27$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…98debacked Yes | 78c | 86.2$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…43a0backed Yes | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd07f…10ffbacked Yes | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cb…d3f8backed No | 28c | 70.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 23c | 63.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b4…c3f4backed Yes | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…5c3ebacked Yes | 76c | 59.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae01…0c40backed No | 20c | 59.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed Yes | 75c | 51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce7…56d3backed Yes | 76c | 50.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f2…eea5backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 31c | 48.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x924a…42e1backed No | 27c | 46.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cb…2c9fbacked Yes | 73c | 40.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed Yes | 80c | 38.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef5…3500backed Yes | 74c | 38.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 35c | 36.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a57…1791backed Yes | 74c | 31.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…978ebacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39d…6cc9backed Yes | 68c | 31.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed Yes | 73c | 31.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd129…7487backed Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…24ccbacked Yes | 75c | 29.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3038…9368backed Yes | 80c | 27.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f5…6c0fbacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…60f7backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…b0a9backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec0…650dbacked Yes | 78c | 20.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2aaebacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d4…26a1backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a7…7916backed Yes | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…1177backed Yes | 74c | 14.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?this page
- No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?No won
- Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.