Champions League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44e27e5adca5d90d24da18e641bdbc12cb0ab9d4b1f312347439800b00c9d4d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,386 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 4,945$3,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.29 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 55c | 3,782$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.22 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 45c | 2,889$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 45c | 2,246$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.6 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 55c | 2,200$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.95 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 55c | 2,076$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.28 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed No | 56c | 1,603$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.53 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 44c | 1,507$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.71 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…180bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked No | 62c | 1,429$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.33 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 36c | 1,250$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.92 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 42c | 898.93$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.35 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 25c | 720$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 552.12$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.12 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 58c | 527.82$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.68 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 45c | 522.22$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 57c | 493.29$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.11 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Yes | 46c | 489.13$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Yes | 43c | 418.6$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…ae2abacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 56c | 407.73$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.4 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…b161backed No | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 64c | 328.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.35 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 55c | 328.24$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.71 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 46c | 325.01$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0d…a97dbacked Yes | 46c | 324.77$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed No | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Yes | 42c | 300.86$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked No | 58c | 263.79$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.79 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 46c | 252$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Yes | 46c | 240$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…1b83backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 36c | 223$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.13 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 51c | 222$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 44c | 221$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Yes | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed No | 58c | 215.52$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 43c | 209.71$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.93 | 402 | 50.7%204 W · 198 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes | 49c | 203.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 33c | 201.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 209 | 16.7%35 W · 174 L | -36.8wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 56c | 195$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 46c | 190.91$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c44…f0ddbacked Yes | 46c | 174$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0209…c794backed Yes | 45c | 167$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…6f28backed Yes | 45c | 158$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc708…e31ebacked Yes | 43c | 156$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0123…d137backed Yes | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…4645backed Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf88…e3e7backed Yes | 45c | 142.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…0073backed Yes | 45c | 140.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1329…2ae0backed Yes | 44c | 131.82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c1…cd85backed Yes | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8576…646dbacked Yes | 46c | 127$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 56c | 118.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 69c | 116.47$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked Yes | 12c | 109.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…c6debacked Yes | 45c | 106.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes | 22c | 104.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Yes | 44c | 104$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 43c | 101.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642e…063bbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 56c | 99.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…7b12backed Yes | 46c | 99.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 45c | 94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 42c | 93.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 55c | 91.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…77aebacked Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 24c | 84.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…98d5backed No | 55c | 83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 44c | 81.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…058bbacked Yes | 46c | 81.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…40b4backed No | 55c | 81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 43c | 80.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 44c | 79.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 489 | 47.6%233 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b02…04aabacked No | 55c | 78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked Yes | 46c | 75.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 60c | 75.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…b810backed No | 58c | 73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.6wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +54%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.