Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ee56f8934600412fbfe340dc75ed3b110056c387cf7c61ab0926aed19be653b

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $213,053

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,053 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Under	42c	40,497$17,204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,293.36	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-3.5wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	47c	20,745$9,817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,927.99	1,994	43.9%875 W · 1,119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec0…7221backed Over	57c	11,738$6,691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,690.51	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over	58c	11,500$6,670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,670	66	43.9%29 W · 37 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over	58c	10,000$5,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,800	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Over	58c	10,000$5,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,799.95	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Over	57c	7,505$4,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,300	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over	57c	7,500$4,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,274.97	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under	42c	6,857$2,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,977.01	161	44.1%71 W · 90 L	-13.8wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under	44c	6,575$2,863 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,711.31	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Under	42c	5,952$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,452.38	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	58c	5,000$2,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,900	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-9.4wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Over	57c	5,000$2,875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,874.98	50	66%33 W · 17 L	+5.4wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	42c	4,203$1,751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,451.98	260	47.7%124 W · 136 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over	40c	4,000$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,599.99	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Over	58c	4,000$2,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,319.99	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under	41c	4,000$1,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,359.98	150	32.7%49 W · 101 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Under	43c	2,482$1,067 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,414.5	8	50%4 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Over	58c	2,155$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-4.5wins	-0.32per pick	53cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Over	57c	2,044$1,165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,165	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under	42c	2,000$840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,160	107	42.1%45 W · 62 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under	43c	1,976$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,126.46	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over	46c	1,959$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over	57c	1,808$1,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030.5	66	57.6%38 W · 28 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9df…2d62backed Under	40c	1,756$711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,045.56	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4af0…f2a2backed Under	43c	1,666$716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$949.62	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.57per pick	43cpaid	+132.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over	56c	1,553$870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$869.6	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-4.7wins	-0.20per pick	51cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under	43c	1,500$645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$854.79	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.30per pick	53cpaid	+55.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	58c	1,481$859 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$858.77	209	47.8%100 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	58c	1,350$783 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$782.51	297	46.5%138 W · 159 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under	50c	1,314$657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$656.75	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+3.1wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	59c	1,300$768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$768	387	48.3%187 W · 200 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over	60c	1,200$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	23	73.9%17 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	64cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Under	43c	1,182$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$672.21	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	+3.3wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over	45c	1,111$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over	49c	1,020$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over	59c	1,000$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590	122	42.6%52 W · 70 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60f…f4b4backed Under	59c	1,000$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.15per pick	54cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over	58c	1,000$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Over	42c	999.99$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Under	41c	999.94$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$589.97	69	52.2%36 W · 33 L	+5.9wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+26%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0dc0…78babacked Over	57c	993.83$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$566.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over	58c	862.07$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+3.2wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over	61c	846.06$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518	46	71.7%33 W · 13 L	+7.3wins	+0.16per pick	56cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under	57c	807.02$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.02	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	48c	752.66$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.16	1,511	40.2%608 W · 903 L	-6.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under	40c	749.98$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.99	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	44c	742.92$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416.04	343	42.3%145 W · 198 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x092e…c685backed Over	57c	701.75$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Over	57c	700$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under	73c	689.36$503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.13	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Over	44c	681.82$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	89	38.2%34 W · 55 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8090…bca8backed Over	57c	673$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.61	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	54c	609.74$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.67	397	43.3%172 W · 225 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Under	43c	600$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over	48c	580.73$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.64	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Over	49c	576.04$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.08	50	18%9 W · 41 L	-4.4wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over	58c	517.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over	49c	510.2$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26c3…e26dbacked Under	43c	500$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over	58c	500$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	206	44.7%92 W · 114 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd68d…32d2backed Under	45c	493.83$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.83	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.55per pick	45cpaid	+120.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fdc…47a4backed Over	62c	483.87$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over	60c	435.02$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.01	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over	58c	431.03$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	65	38.5%25 W · 40 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	44c	423.72$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.02	601	36.9%222 W · 379 L	-28.7wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under	19c	421.57$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.45	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+3.1wins	+0.22per pick	42cpaid	+172.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under	42c	400$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.18	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under	42c	400$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232	146	45.2%66 W · 80 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed Under	43c	399.99$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.99	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Over	57c	395$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.15	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+41.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over	58c	392.24$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.5	306	57.5%176 W · 130 L	+11.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over	57c	386.28$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.18	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under	51c	375.67$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.08	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	54cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	50c	357.33$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.24	424	38%161 W · 263 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under	42c	357.14$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.14	133	49.6%66 W · 67 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x16ec…ae94backed Over	50c	350$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x010f…6c1abacked Over	57c	349.22$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	62cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over	43c	348.84$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Under	15c	337$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.05	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+4.0wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over	52c	332.89$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1782…892fbacked Under	26c	329$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.46	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+247.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under	41c	320$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.8	65	36.9%24 W · 41 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb959…709ebacked Under	60c	316.67$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.67	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+69.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd758…7af8backed Under	43c	302.33$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.33	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+71.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bcb…5731backed Under	40c	299.99$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.99	31	67.7%21 W · 10 L	+3.4wins	+0.11per pick	57cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under	43c	299.94$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.97	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over	48c	284.82$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.74	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over	58c	284.48$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	71	45.1%32 W · 39 L	-6.3wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under	43c	280.48$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.87	129	35.7%46 W · 83 L	-12.8wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	28c	270.75$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.9	460	48.5%223 W · 237 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over	37c	270.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over	59c	269.5$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.28	403	50.9%205 W · 198 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over	57c	263.16$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	59c	254.24$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	206	55.3%114 W · 92 L	+14.6wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over	11c	246.7$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.53	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over	58c	243.13$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.49	158	47.5%75 W · 83 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over	44c	240$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+5.6wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under	42c	228$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.24	132	45.5%60 W · 72 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5this page
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Over won
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5Under won
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)Arsenal FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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