South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-02-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24bfcb8250fba1687d50f236b77e1c77f13b00ff04dd5a41c4512a6098d3f7e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 5,561$3,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,494.64 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 31c | 2,898$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.66 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 69c | 2,686$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.54 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 56c | 1,933$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.49 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 6c | 1,780$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes | 10c | 799.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 10c | 740$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Yes | 71c | 706.21$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 672.86$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.92 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x273f…56febacked Yes | 3c | 668.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 10c | 410.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 38c | 388.66$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.37 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked No | 42c | 380.61$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.57 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 77c | 370.66$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.72 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 70c | 336.04$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.41 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 52c | 288.16$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.06 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 47c | 257.58$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.47 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Yes | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 38c | 238.36$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes | 57c | 192.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 35c | 160$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 45c | 155.22$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.78 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 30c | 128.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 54c | 117.95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 64c | 115.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 14c | 113.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 70c | 110.95$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…8d29backed Yes | 70c | 109$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 29c | 99.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 63c | 91.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 28c | 72.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 30c | 61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e4…ac2bbacked Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 41c | 48.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82af…f919backed Yes | 71c | 43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 29c | 42.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked No | 30c | 41.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 68c | 37.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…122ebacked Yes | 56c | 35.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed No | 50c | 34.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1038…6330backed Yes | 46c | 30.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…1fd1backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x192f…352bbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935a…5c35backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda25…abafbacked Yes | 70c | 26.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…2015backed No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked No | 47c | 23.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcae0…2bacbacked Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1c…74a5backed Yes | 70c | 19.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…d23fbacked Yes | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd742…f678backed No | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…a366backed Yes | 69c | 14.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-02-05?this page
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-02-05?Yes won
- Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.