TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$602,474
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$515,827

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $602,474 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 399 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes0c176,667$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.9811336.3%41 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+450.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dcb…8709backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+31.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes57c44,186$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0002634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes7c17,215$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.31,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No46c15,384$7,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,327.881,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd9d…b730backed No49c14,816$7,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,556.19450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes0c13,796$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.11777.8%6 W · 71 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+70.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c11,542$7,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,277.574,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c21…9b8abacked No49c9,743$4,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,953.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1c…6535backed No44c9,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,049.992147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+49.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300c…7708backed Yes20c8,380$1,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.08616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes1c7,559$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.124216.7%7 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+162.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes51c7,346$3,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,762.322,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No50c7,300$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6507139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes39c6,018$2,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,338.8690843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e33…5825backed Yes17c5,798$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick32cpaid+110.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes18c5,758$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9923727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No49c5,365$2,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,736.317439.2%29 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8505757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes8c4,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36083939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes52c4,118$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,140.2330446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.635149%25 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes54c3,710$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.413054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbc…c413backed Yes55c3,639$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes8c3,570$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.7926930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes54c3,333$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.827443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes52c3,269$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70012236.1%44 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes13c3,250$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4253327.3%9 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+70.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes19c2,675$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.213138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes22c2,323$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50037829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Yes51c2,268$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.712227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-46.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04016740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x170f…095bbacked Yes7c1,890$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.51330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed No49c1,741$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.823956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No44c1,716$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7319255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaed…580bbacked No48c1,679$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.14757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Yes19c1,500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2856642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No45c1,421$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.4292254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Yes50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No49c1,347$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.942556%14 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Yes19c1,316$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501225%3 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Yes53c1,226$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6129058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes4c1,102$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4240033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf952…767dbacked Yes44c1,092$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffec…7a8bbacked No46c1,051$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4052…0014backed Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes52c1,000$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51589050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Yes52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5203151.6%16 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes55c990$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.2926550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd29…a74abacked Yes51c976.06$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes54c953.7$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51549447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes51c941.92$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.121,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d7…f14fbacked Yes52c914.13$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4751936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-32.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes3c905.75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.412917.8%23 W · 106 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No43c800$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45622552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No54c727.52$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.397440.5%30 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No43c661.95$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.3121957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes46c660.09$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.645764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.244235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8d6…bdf8backed Yes53c593.3$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes8c563.53$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3215444.8%69 W · 85 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes55c551$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.054259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Yes52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26010049%49 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked No47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2651241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No43c499.99$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.9921355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No48c499.97$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.985046%23 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Yes6c464.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304942.9%21 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+88.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c38…ad0abacked Yes55c435.67$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.04520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-66.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Yes52c423.08$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes56c412.55$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2307550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2083531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes36c400$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1423743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc2b…d830backed Yes36c400$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1421643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No44c399.99$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.998245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No44c399.98$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.3242851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x084d…7e47backed Yes51c386.95$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.47864.1%50 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ee…7e3abacked Yes8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301050%5 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+46.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed Yes49c369.39$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0d…dea7backed Yes52c346.15$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802552%13 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc59f…f632backed Yes56c324.18$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.54742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No48c320.62$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.7214348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16219750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked Yes8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a99…8302backed Yes53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17131751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c16…c36fbacked Yes6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+11.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes55c299.99$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.523947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes18c299.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5411120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd262…e939backed No45c298.61$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes55c296.43$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5620642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010343.7%45 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9859…7012backed Yes56c287.61$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70d2…5967backed Yes56c283.46$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae5…45b7backed No45c269.84$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.41580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+39.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.