TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,468

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,468 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes28c17,921$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,920.516832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes28c16,549$4,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,866.374,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No77c15,000$11,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,546.5790843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes32c9,853$3,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,670.1122753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No71c7,000$4,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,969.975757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes26c4,680$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,442.142,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No75c4,069$3,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,035.6611839%46 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Yes12c4,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5203438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes26c3,203$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3591,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No71c3,000$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.9821957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes28c2,290$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.81435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes14c2,200$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.6723727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No72c2,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.995563.6%35 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c1,845$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.9592254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes71c1,796$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.8274457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No28c1,796$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.321,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No70c1,500$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.7149057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No36c1,483$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.977339.7%29 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No69c1,315$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.194463.6%28 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No15c1,100$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.49530.5%29 W · 66 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No72c1,094$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78850449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7104254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes12c913.31$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.7137829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes20c913.13$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.264042.5%17 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+72%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x07fe…4d66backed Yes19c879.88$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.6110440.4%42 W · 62 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed No74c800$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5922356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No71c800$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56822552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb070…4761backed Yes34c676.47$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.47771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+44.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d73…9d35backed Yes58c622$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.282142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes26c609.64$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.1319255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No72c554$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.887440.5%30 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dcb…8709backed Yes19c522.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.311040%4 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+31.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes20c501.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.291947.4%9 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick31cpaid+49.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No69c500.19$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.1941147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes10c500$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4503743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde1b…ccc9backed Yes7c500$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4652330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+77.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No72c500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36089050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No72c500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No72c500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No15c499.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7523255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc593…f6f7backed Yes27c487.63$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5631…2007backed Yes27c479.63$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.132100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+160.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cb1…624ebacked Yes27c468.79$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+160.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x632f…9e6ebacked Yes73c425.06$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.45650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed Yes30c410$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2871850%9 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07ba…3fcbbacked Yes27c405.28$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x060c…7d36backed No71c403.17$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa71e…ce92backed Yes27c402.36$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+156.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a52…f49ebacked Yes27c384.62$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No19c369.98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.726641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes26c338.51$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.542851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.59348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No71c300$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21327652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No71c300$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21319750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No71c300$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21329053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No71c300$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21331751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes76c275.66$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.299557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes26c275$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.52842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cab…8228backed Yes13c270.22$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.473627.8%10 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes32c250$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1702544%11 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No71c250$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0d…dea7backed Yes28c246.43$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.432552%13 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No71c240$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.418152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes11c235.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.152941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick28cpaid+32.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes27c228$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.2483650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0af2…de45backed No74c225.73$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.04450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No73c213$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.493658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x289b…714ebacked Yes27c212.82$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.362356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+54%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Yes26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1481338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+36.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1387236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b0…48f3backed Yes77c195.34$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Yes31c193.32$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.928550.6%43 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes7c189.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.32742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+190.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d8c…bec4backed Yes28c187.07$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.69728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3656…6a0cbacked Yes35c185.74$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.731181.8%9 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.37per pick45cpaid+118%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x80a1…68bfbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.19540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1912727.6%35 W · 92 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes52c184.74$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9417044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef2f…bfa2backed No74c184.74$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No71c180$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.814950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd1…7040backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.571758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb58…5d49backed No74c178.23$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.89425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed Yes32c175$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No60c173.48$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5926930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0476…8d17backed No74c170.39$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.09366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x020d…ffd5backed No74c167.19$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes29c165.84$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2333734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe46e…1567backed No74c164.81$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49d9…7e2ebacked No74c159.09$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes27c157.81$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.8563553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8d3…1bbabacked No74c154.65$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes13c153.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.851631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5336…de48backed No74c153.71$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No71c149.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4943255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa349…81ecbacked No67c149.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.41275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x679b…745fbacked No74c147.89$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.44366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c2…9ed6backed No74c146.75$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes28c142.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.861513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No71c140$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.419652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8976…ebf3backed No74c138.03$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.14425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.