TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-02-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,688
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,883

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,688 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No29c5,290$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,760.755,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No36c4,155$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,658.531,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No19c4,119$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,338.478,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No38c2,900$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7988643%37 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes60c2,500$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007552%39 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No40c2,353$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.981650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yes62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2401338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d3f…c7f3backed Yes79c1,852$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.421833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No30c1,546$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.581,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6967…2e46backed Yes64c1,376$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes60c1,350$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.524240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes65c1,174$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.2430048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65030841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked Yes62c799.8$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.881060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Yes60c760$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4563129%9 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-41.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No40c499.96$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.983951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-51.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes60c430.7$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.4210242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No39c411.74$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.591,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes64c400$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.954634.8%16 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes60c400$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes63c372.07$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.3128651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Yes64c343.75$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205538.2%21 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed No70c325.46$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.271145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No37c316.14$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.1755155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Yes60c301.67$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes61c291.85$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.633,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes49c289.87$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.1727133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No28c286.66$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.7412051.7%62 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes66c262.28$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.811,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes65c259$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.996235.5%22 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes62c256.45$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1598057.5%46 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes62c241.94$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No31c237.87$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.051,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No38c234.92$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.2812828.1%36 W · 92 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked No42c233$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.141442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No36c230.47$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.552,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc18f…bb01backed Yes64c222.47$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.331723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf24e…080dbacked No41c210.73$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.332185.7%18 W · 3 L+4.9wins+0.23per pick62cpaid+37%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No37c209.03$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.441,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de0…dacebacked Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222425%6 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+69.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5f4…3421backed Yes62c192.15$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37eb…6bf7backed No38c190.21$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.932642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes60c180.81$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.482245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes62c178.77$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3323435%82 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe015…621fbacked Yes60c177.85$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.715641.1%23 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbe1…2da8backed Yes59c164.63$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c50…14dfbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed No33c158.12$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.365940.7%24 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No40c149.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7516347.9%78 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes60c142.86$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1984943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed Yes63c141.27$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed No40c140$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked No38c133.21$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.594257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked No39c123.59$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.393438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes64c109.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7076951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…2391backed Yes63c103.44$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.175440.7%22 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.317436.2%63 W · 111 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1039127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5912354.5%67 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked Yes63c95.23$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes61c93.28$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.917930.4%24 W · 55 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8007…4245backed Yes50c93.09$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.552433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Yes17c88.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1549341%202 W · 291 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6584…c018backed Yes60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe21a…88edbacked Yes60c83.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes15c76.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8127442%115 W · 159 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0931…8dccbacked Yes64c71.88$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc38b…3368backed Yes60c66.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f3d…fea8backed No38c65.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.79757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8577…199abacked No50c60.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.461675%12 W · 4 L+4.5wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+69.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0c87…3b59backed Yes60c60.15$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.09922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.35per pick57cpaid-66.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb456…1774backed Yes63c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.85846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc3a…e1f0backed No42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+49.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cb…2208backed Yes61c58.79$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.81656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9830…1ecfbacked No42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.517950.8%91 W · 88 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x404f…f2a1backed Yes66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82af…f919backed Yes62c49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.383253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1d3…43abbacked No38c48.46$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.98475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d80…857dbacked Yes62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92b1…94acbacked Yes63c47.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.26per pick50cpaid-54.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x50b7…9802backed Yes59c47.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes64c46.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305044%22 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf8…8aacbacked No42c45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7604…f7cdbacked Yes59c44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.961553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec2…ee6dbacked Yes62c40.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes62c40.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255945.8%27 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dda…69d2backed No42c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb7…d25abacked No42c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98e5…52babacked No42c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes77c37.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.311,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x64f1…40efbacked Yes60c36$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7be4…8929backed Yes61c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c51…d8f1backed No42c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b21…3ed4backed Yes60c33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bee…590cbacked Yes63c32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.16944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.