Macro Indicators · resolved market
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42066c6c91e6aae2aae2fc49f3eb6ab3a41c05efb2437835382a9d5e8a96eee9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x230b…7409backed No | 13c | 13,727$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabcc…bcbbbacked No | 15c | 3,494$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…32afbacked No | 17c | 3,150$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 74c | 2,755$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.93 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…df38backed No | 15c | 2,755$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 78c | 2,427$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.48 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…5545backed No | 15c | 2,292$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…65c9backed Yes | 68c | 2,025$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 23c | 1,637$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.47 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 9c | 1,400$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…6b74backed Yes | 79c | 1,354$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 12c | 1,306$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.08 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9065…f13abacked No | 15c | 1,053$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…9e19backed Yes | 78c | 1,026$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a17…2560backed Yes | 63c | 876.35$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 68c | 873.34$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.57 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…f8aabacked Yes | 58c | 829.32$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 9c | 778.03$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.94 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 17c | 702.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked No | 9c | 700$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 21c | 621.8$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.91 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed No | 9c | 611.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…12b4backed No | 13c | 605.38$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 9c | 603.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 8c | 539.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 10c | 521.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 17c | 509.58$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 10c | 496.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 15c | 495.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.83 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…692fbacked Yes | 46c | 492.19$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 10c | 468.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed No | 13c | 447.15$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 10c | 428$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec09…1db9backed Yes | 68c | 423.52$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa417…07efbacked Yes | 62c | 387.36$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d76…b4efbacked Yes | 51c | 382.76$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd129…7487backed Yes | 77c | 345.71$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058d…42f1backed No | 15c | 338.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0f…1132backed Yes | 70c | 330.86$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 15c | 314.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…ee14backed Yes | 42c | 311.28$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64c…b9ffbacked No | 17c | 296.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7e…8fa1backed Yes | 70c | 286.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 52c | 276.57$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.93 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x317d…dc2dbacked Yes | 79c | 253.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…3b27backed No | 11c | 246.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…bb19backed Yes | 80c | 229.91$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 34c | 229.82$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 309 | 18.1%56 W · 253 L | -29.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d32…b2d7backed Yes | 75c | 228$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ea…8adcbacked No | 11c | 227.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 25c | 225.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…24d2backed No | 9c | 202.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b53…3598backed Yes | 51c | 178.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…7485backed No | 20c | 176.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba4…e348backed Yes | 51c | 175$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 22c | 168.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369a…29d6backed No | 24c | 164.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…2f01backed Yes | 59c | 163.79$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fdc3backed No | 21c | 163.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 17c | 158.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 16c | 151.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…3058backed No | 20c | 151.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 51c | 145.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a16…518bbacked Yes | 77c | 133.16$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed No | 18c | 132.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe074…629bbacked Yes | 58c | 127.92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f4…7871backed No | 17c | 126$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaf…ee69backed No | 23c | 120.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…f0f3backed Yes | 68c | 118.75$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ba…26afbacked Yes | 80c | 117.49$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 10c | 115$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 58c | 113$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d3…4356backed Yes | 61c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 33c | 106.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 299 | 13.7%41 W · 258 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 22c | 105.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…7a52backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…9546backed Yes | 77c | 98.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa8…20bdbacked Yes | 60c | 98.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 21c | 95.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe2…181abacked No | 13c | 91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…3e05backed Yes | 79c | 87.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f5…b572backed No | 15c | 85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 79c | 81.06$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…0037backed No | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ef…ff3dbacked Yes | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe19…b213backed Yes | 67c | 78.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 16c | 76.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x650e…f13dbacked No | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 55c | 74.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c62…12c3backed Yes | 37c | 70.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +169.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…c3a2backed Yes | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed No | 49c | 63.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 52c | 62.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…0df8backed Yes | 76c | 62.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…3681backed Yes | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f14…a910backed Yes | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a5…36d1backed Yes | 70c | 57.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?this page
- Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?No won
- Will the Bank of Brazil raise the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.