Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x593e05a072362cab6fc61fd64796860f8a5424681ffa380fa659c0d8c7efa165
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf72c…f818backed Yes | 15c | 18,076$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,634.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0c…89bcbacked Yes | 14c | 5,677$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…472fbacked Yes | 17c | 4,291$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a3…350ebacked Yes | 48c | 3,783$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 20c | 2,427$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.75 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50a…6d1abacked Yes | 11c | 2,109$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 22c | 1,917$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.37 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x302d…0046backed Yes | 11c | 1,535$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…d013backed Yes | 10c | 1,338$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 13c | 1,272$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ea…4f9dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,200$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733a…538abacked Yes | 15c | 1,150$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…fbe5backed Yes | 15c | 1,058$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…c47abacked Yes | 25c | 1,010$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…5545backed Yes | 15c | 985$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8605…fc6dbacked Yes | 17c | 877.34$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 7c | 856.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x264d…6f2bbacked Yes | 45c | 843.46$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.08 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 12c | 834.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…14a1backed Yes | 12c | 829.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 69c | 731.58$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…df38backed Yes | 33c | 694.16$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5260…fd71backed Yes | 16c | 583.8$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5b…afe2backed Yes | 13c | 552.59$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b14…af44backed Yes | 17c | 535$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8275…32b2backed Yes | 33c | 413.03$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe19…b213backed Yes | 28c | 385.83$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd129…7487backed Yes | 19c | 345.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…27f2backed Yes | 13c | 317.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…44c6backed Yes | 59c | 316.28$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 11c | 298.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 59c | 295.76$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.82 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7499…3e3cbacked Yes | 24c | 280.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed No | 75c | 280.18$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9080…b7a6backed Yes | 15c | 275.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb08…e40dbacked Yes | 15c | 271.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6066…a1f1backed Yes | 20c | 268.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8143…9698backed Yes | 8c | 257$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…b977backed Yes | 22c | 252.08$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…ba97backed Yes | 12c | 250.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…27c7backed Yes | 30c | 242.43$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a3…67e3backed Yes | 37c | 237.39$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.77 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…bb19backed Yes | 17c | 229.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed No | 49c | 220$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb336…5091backed Yes | 12c | 206.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21bc…62d0backed Yes | 13c | 205.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 55c | 203.71$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc08…83a1backed Yes | 13c | 199.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7478…4003backed Yes | 63c | 190.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…2dc5backed Yes | 12c | 184.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x632c…9c1ebacked Yes | 28c | 184.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…774fbacked Yes | 12c | 178.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…0037backed Yes | 16c | 178.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31f…8115backed Yes | 12c | 177.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e7…846abacked Yes | 18c | 160.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7eebbacked Yes | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b6…922fbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…e58abacked Yes | 12c | 158.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 18c | 157.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 299 | 13.7%41 W · 258 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…3058backed Yes | 19c | 156.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x644e…ff58backed Yes | 48c | 153.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe074…629bbacked Yes | 53c | 152.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…0df8backed Yes | 14c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd07a…251bbacked Yes | 12c | 144.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6645…4b0ebacked Yes | 8c | 142.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ef…0b34backed Yes | 24c | 142.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…276ebacked Yes | 12c | 142$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…563bbacked Yes | 15c | 132.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce56…057cbacked Yes | 11c | 132.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…93a4backed No | 53c | 130$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…978ebacked Yes | 16c | 127.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1b…652bbacked Yes | 30c | 124.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b8…615cbacked Yes | 12c | 123.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…7d5abacked Yes | 17c | 117.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d78…66f8backed Yes | 45c | 109.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db9…9808backed Yes | 15c | 108.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 79c | 107.02$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…0cfebacked Yes | 49c | 100.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc1…b867backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9c…3bbcbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed Yes | 56c | 99.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46a…919ebacked Yes | 11c | 99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dad…c5dabacked Yes | 20c | 95.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x647b…0fa2backed Yes | 21c | 93.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe51a…354bbacked Yes | 32c | 90.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437e…ac9abacked Yes | 47c | 87.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…c462backed Yes | 12c | 87.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 11cpaid | +969.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…3e05backed Yes | 18c | 87.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e16…8703backed Yes | 57c | 83.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9850…f9b7backed Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ef…ff3dbacked Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…d85ebacked Yes | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4734…0979backed Yes | 16c | 79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b8…44c1backed Yes | 19c | 73.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed Yes | 17c | 71.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684d…cda3backed Yes | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…633cbacked Yes | 22c | 67.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a54…0694backed Yes | 24c | 62.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?this page
- No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?Yes won
- Will the Bank of Brazil raise the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.