TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,288,182
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,237,801

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,288,182 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 653 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Yes54c889,105$476,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476,436.472065%13 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61ef…5a75backed No47c690,745$323,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366,878.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ac…7c14backed No47c412,926$194,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218,658.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No49c283,626$138,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145,159.6410948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab82…abe5backed Yes39c167,171$64,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,701.241060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes53c99,939$52,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,632.311,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c83,274$44,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,520.644,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes52c63,084$32,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,935.338756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes53c62,308$32,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,827.12,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed No46c59,874$27,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,331.992161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes53c51,024$27,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,141.041,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d82…3847backed Yes54c50,000$27,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No55c36,837$20,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,572.354856.3%27 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3437…b330backed Yes52c25,435$13,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,350.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No51c21,246$10,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,350.683444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes44c21,205$9,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,411.6990843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No54c21,144$11,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,678.491,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5808…0b74backed Yes51c19,051$9,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,725.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes52c18,888$9,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,821.766127.9%17 W · 44 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes36c18,487$6,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,703.2313645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Yes53c18,485$9,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,834.836746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes53c18,464$9,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,786.0315044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No55c18,233$10,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,117.293,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes53c14,793$7,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,840.347468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes54c13,948$7,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,497.216746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed No44c12,625$5,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,070.081675%12 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+59.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5e8b…11cabacked Yes56c11,977$6,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,706.91050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes53c11,773$6,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,262.679244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes53c11,354$6,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,017.3815459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No43c11,247$4,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,410.616357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Yes52c10,241$5,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,327.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes53c10,000$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2507349.3%36 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1002748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No53c8,384$4,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,935.1123456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No53c8,269$4,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,893.5922455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No44c7,825$3,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,379.982842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Yes54c7,779$4,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,200.7714250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Yes53c7,307$3,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,872.621136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No46c6,226$2,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,363.4464457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes53c6,098$3,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,214.172365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes49c6,000$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,969.983831.6%12 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Yes53c4,953$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,625.151952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes53c4,859$2,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,575.2710848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ecf…9148backed Yes51c4,782$2,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,427.32650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5540…0b5fbacked Yes53c4,514$2,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Yes50c4,447$2,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,223.252250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db1…a565backed Yes54c4,416$2,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,384.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa540…3842backed Yes57c4,278$2,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,424.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…931abacked Yes56c4,269$2,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,390.66771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No44c4,200$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,351.861844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No47c4,109$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.177954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes52c4,000$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,098.1925648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes57c3,884$2,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,21449447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes51c3,882$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980.024465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes46c3,833$1,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.152334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No46c3,297$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.358940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No63c3,088$1,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.7528357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No47c3,062$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.5422758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes57c3,037$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,731.1610245.1%46 W · 56 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Yes52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5601855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x394e…450fbacked Yes45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes57c2,934$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.4814244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Yes53c2,830$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.892240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes53c2,802$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.948251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da3…5a49backed Yes54c2,793$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.992347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes53c2,777$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.817443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32524145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed No43c2,500$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.992755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Yes53c2,422$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.581040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd500…4568backed Yes57c2,361$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.541154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Yes52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0407667.1%51 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08014348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17ed…c087backed Yes52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.97553.3%40 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Yes53c1,834$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.81631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No53c1,820$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.7720360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Yes43c1,693$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.972334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes58c1,681$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.7712236.1%44 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Yes52c1,632$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.2511266.1%74 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes52c1,344$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.461631.3%5 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No43c1,302$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.6621355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Yes53c1,293$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.842850%14 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8de…a2b8backed Yes25c1,269$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.88728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ace…95a9backed Yes48c1,211$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.281258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes34c1,194$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.1921950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No52c1,185$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.849561.1%58 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed No52c1,131$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.696660.6%40 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed No42c1,111$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.342433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Yes58c1,072$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.925431.5%17 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4815…8ba4backed Yes54c1,063$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.951926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-39.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes42c1,049$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.3723727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5605563.6%35 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5706640.9%27 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes53c999.98$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9916745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes54c972.4$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.122335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes12c967.25$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0240033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed No60c946.07$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+118.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes54c937.34$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.4920843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Yes53c916.76$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.882045%9 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-38.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.