TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis Balompié vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,226
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,647

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,226 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No54c20,503$11,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,162.2890843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ddd…bea6backed Yes78c6,212$4,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.641457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes32c5,600$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,805.2783444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9750…263dbacked Yes50c3,149$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa829…bc90backed No76c3,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.97540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-45%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x122c…b48fbacked Yes53c2,086$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.751457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa540…3842backed Yes24c2,004$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c2,004$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.334,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No36c1,831$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.3721950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x284d…59f7backed No75c1,773$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.75757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes72c1,620$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.272334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes24c1,336$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.042,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes32c1,168$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.720360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes63c1,164$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.71952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes45c1,001$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.931,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda23…1d83backed No63c961.94$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No71c915.07$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.73476.5%26 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes33c876.62$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.712729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes25c632.59$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.387132.4%23 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No75c624$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4687561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c1…0bc4backed No76c591.36$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.43837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No45c580.2$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.0923255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes35c577.25$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.381,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes25c569.18$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.8910245.1%46 W · 56 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed No37c525.2$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3618656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes25c482.46$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.5964457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes74c435.58$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.961,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes53c421.72$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.2111457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce01…7acabacked Yes25c391.55$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.66616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked No55c383.44$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.992623.1%6 W · 20 L-6.9wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-66.1%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No31c382.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7235145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8643…0f54backed No76c369.83$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.072828.6%8 W · 20 L-6.9wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-52.5%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x91b7…63b5backed Yes56c340.39$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.77650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked No63c336.24$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.15738.6%22 W · 35 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x643e…679bbacked Yes51c333.85$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes25c324.44$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.3369750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x054a…d622backed Yes36c300.04$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba3…6c19backed No71c292.81$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.930%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd523…032dbacked Yes27c283.32$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.82757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x893d…d65bbacked Yes71c259.48$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.22450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed Yes26c243.36$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.094156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked No66c239.93$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.045671.4%40 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes64c236.17$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.441,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…860fbacked No52c235.33$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.376159%36 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c227.13$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.4192254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f32…ab75backed Yes25c210.1$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba14…a571backed Yes24c204.24$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes53c201.69$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.813426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No74c199.98$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.999147.3%43 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed No46c192.23$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.596536.9%24 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Yes51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.254238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes31c185.54$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0223152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No75c180$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13534252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9386…b2b7backed Yes27c178.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76c8…68ecbacked Yes27c177.07$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.261833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes67c167.6$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3389050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1170…7080backed Yes66c148.42$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.46333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-49.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No67c131.91$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.379528.4%27 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd012…87b0backed Yes50c130.79$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes67c130.33$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.51,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dcc…c9a8backed No77c118.58$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.21757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756762.7%42 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8620252%105 W · 97 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed No30c99.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes26c99.24$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.437838.5%30 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Yes48c98.9$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.431822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No34c97.39$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.883,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes50c96.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.692147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes29c95.74$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9862744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No77c94.78$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9814574.5%108 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed No12c94.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.516446.3%76 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes41c92.63$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0117659.7%105 W · 71 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No76c89.15$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7510561.9%65 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Yes40c86.18$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8216456.7%93 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fca…819abacked Yes53c80.68$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.921136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Yes26c80.19$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.342646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes31c75.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5322758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes47c74.62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.638055%44 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No47c73.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9741348.7%201 W · 212 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Yes26c73.51$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.414028.6%40 W · 100 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes38c71.73$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2533161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes38c71.73$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2522455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Yes38c71.73$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.256660.6%40 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes27c70.83$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.712429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Yes28c70.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.175453.7%29 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes29c68.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2119260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Yes30c66.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.314075%30 W · 10 L+7.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+37.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes75c65.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.427946.8%37 W · 42 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Yes43c62.89$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.853545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes25c61.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1875451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No75c60$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.79861.2%60 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Yes25c59.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.412245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes25c59.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4116341.1%67 W · 96 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Yes40c57.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.428246.3%38 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd421…8531backed No34c56.46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.381668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No69c55.96$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.338672.1%62 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3bfd…bc91backed Yes25c55.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes25c55.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.591,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No24c53.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.186982.6%57 W · 12 L+15.0wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+37%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed Yes31c53.64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.932755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.