TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-02-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,359
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$142,997

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,359 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No41c8,719$3,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,571.985,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No59c7,010$4,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,133.091010%1 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick33cpaid-77.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes63c7,001$4,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.2113134.4%45 W · 86 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No5c5,517$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.7314443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe49…9c28backed Yes40c3,577$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,146.461250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes42c3,388$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.3323435%82 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Yes25c3,330$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,497.862334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68c9…b988backed Yes43c3,319$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,895.183100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No32c3,007$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.3616543.6%72 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No24c2,889$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.178,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No55c2,763$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.552,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f18…2d79backed Yes66c2,285$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.61540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes48c2,119$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.4327133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No60c2,027$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No43c1,972$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.821,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No58c1,937$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.363,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No61c1,933$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.071,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes41c1,747$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.3617436.2%63 W · 111 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked No46c1,280$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5844362.8%27 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No40c1,193$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.391,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No48c1,192$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.821,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes71c1,182$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.7830841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No59c961.59$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.2614954.4%81 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes41c957$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.6917542.3%74 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No59c950$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.0223354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes41c804$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.3612354.5%67 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x998d…7c1ebacked No60c639.8$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.881050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Yes40c626.78$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.071450%7 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Yes68c586.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.671747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes34c570.27$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.2746530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Yes36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.561957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No60c531.12$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.8581651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes37c518.57$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.5710326.2%27 W · 76 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb90…8dd8backed No4c485$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.66185.6%1 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick18cpaid-92.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed No61c480.76$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.82646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes65c435.38$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3810155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes74c408.33$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.1399259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23221849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c93…8967backed No59c399.98$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.991258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No44c379.84$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4181740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes33c363.09$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.334242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes67c362$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.6318160.2%109 W · 72 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked No10c349.49$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.688537.6%32 W · 53 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No58c344.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0418742.2%79 W · 108 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.582825%7 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No48c316.35$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.371,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes67c268$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4449449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No60c267.08$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1927050.7%137 W · 133 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No60c252.17$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.35560%33 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd22…e478backed Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+38.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.91947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes41c241.46$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.4613833.3%46 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes32c240$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.23647.2%17 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fcd…32f3backed Yes70c190.09$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.08475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No35c169.59$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9884943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes30c168.9$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2339127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No58c160.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.371,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed No40c149.27$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.076468.8%44 W · 20 L+8.7wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+38.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed No41c147.13$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.856448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes41c141$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1917946.9%84 W · 95 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes40c139.56$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.464854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Yes30c139.33$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.531145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.952147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34e4…e1e1backed Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8258%2 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.21per pick29cpaid-79.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No59c115.04$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.633857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1783…7180backed Yes36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.11520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes35c109.02$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.027424.3%18 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd865…4778backed Yes70c105$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.551080%8 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66b2…5165backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6039853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc709…0a40backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704143.9%18 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd573…f99ebacked Yes41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74cd…608fbacked Yes71c95$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No49c94.94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6949535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes29c82.34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4415128.5%43 W · 108 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7dc…af80backed Yes41c73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.071250%6 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc60f…742dbacked No37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe62e…8147backed No24c66.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.661926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes41c65.85$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8520142.3%85 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7713…daf0backed Yes41c65.02$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.361747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x264c…08bcbacked Yes34c64.3$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.441118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes34c60.59$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8613335.3%47 W · 86 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Yes42c60.18$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.183043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.43959%23 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.45350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c95…6844backed No60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.45453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No59c59.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.395151%26 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5acf…0df2backed No50c59.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.983452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb235…c047backed Yes67c59.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.26666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+39.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes40c58.6$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.164346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No60c56.79$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.077352.1%38 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbafe…757dbacked Yes37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.056100%6 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+76.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf677…409ebacked Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.782020%4 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e83…2e2abacked Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x192f…352bbacked Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No58c45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.212,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf5…52adbacked No60c44.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.324146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.