South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-02-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d999922ce12f719fd18132e777a7709fb26b4539bb2ad6f582dd841ce8f4a99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 10c | 3,732$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.45 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed Yes | 30c | 3,577$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 2,591$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.88 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bab…cf38backed No | 70c | 2,521$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf24e…080dbacked No | 71c | 1,758$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.17 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +37%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 1,585$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.56 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 27c | 1,249$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.64 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 12c | 1,010$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 69c | 732.56$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.68 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd22…e478backed Yes | 33c | 568.22$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bb…9943backed Yes | 9c | 535.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked No | 65c | 526.15$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.15 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked Yes | 35c | 457.14$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 33c | 302.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 30c | 296$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked No | 71c | 282.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 78c | 256.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 14c | 219$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 70c | 197.8$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed Yes | 36c | 166.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 118.65$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 26c | 110.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 69c | 104.52$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 100.27$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…08bcbacked Yes | 31c | 86.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…2347backed Yes | 31c | 83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…31dcbacked No | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 20c | 61.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb79…91b5backed No | 70c | 60.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9a…f2a8backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…c4a8backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 44.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 68c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked No | 68c | 40.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 107 | 67.3%72 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed No | 72c | 25.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 24.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…9f98backed No | 76c | 15.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Internacional win on 2026-02-12?this page
- Will SC Internacional vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?No won
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-02-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.