South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Internacional vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59e9a862a2b249655c9ee7796c4e883f8b21d02b545d00ea1d6aa14a7c7bc263
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 34c | 3,500$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked No | 78c | 2,662$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 30c | 2,418$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.81 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 17c | 1,925$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.1 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 1,516$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.36 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 1,343$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.54 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 24c | 1,248$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.46 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 25c | 1,019$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 69c | 971$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.01 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 31c | 971$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.01 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 25c | 704.35$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bab…cf38backed No | 70c | 642.44$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 541.05$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.59 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 70c | 528.63$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.02 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 24c | 486.96$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked No | 65c | 445.66$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.36 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…6c98backed No | 71c | 399.83$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 52c | 208.18$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 196.27$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 190.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 76c | 179.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed No | 72c | 168.62$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 73c | 133$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 130$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 49c | 119.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.38 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 77c | 114.7$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 27c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 29c | 108.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 28c | 102.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed No | 69c | 102.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 33c | 92.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 15c | 87.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 29c | 79.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 30c | 60.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 35c | 52.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 68c | 49.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 70c | 32.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked No | 71c | 29.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71ef…d91dbacked No | 77c | 21.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Internacional vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?this page
- Will SC Internacional win on 2026-02-12?No won
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-02-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.