TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miami Open?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,825
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,329

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,825 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x48df…e4c9backed Yes5c1,592$80 inLost-$8017746.9%83 W · 94 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8352…4f12backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e0d…5d0cbacked Yes17c1,031$179 inLost-$1792213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-69.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes8c641.56$49 inLost-$49.452750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0ce…0a8ebacked Yes6c615.8$36 inLost-$35.72334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes11c455.31$51 inLost-$51.375748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb15c…c161backed Yes6c393$24 inLost-$23.5810340.8%42 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes10c349.5$35 inLost-$34.918640.7%35 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c291.06$10 inLost-$10.482,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ab…8dbcbacked Yes9c288.24$25 inLost-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7937…81fdbacked Yes11c269.25$29 inLost-$29.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes8c261.65$20 inLost-$19.9433650.9%171 W · 165 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes11c245.74$26 inLost-$26.528322.3%63 W · 220 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba30…9d31backed Yes9c230.62$20 inLost-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Yes9c223.32$20 inLost-$209961.6%61 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed Yes9c222.78$20 inLost-$2032333.4%108 W · 215 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed Yes9c176.58$16 inLost-$16.421540%6 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes9c168.52$15 inLost-$15.0522723.8%54 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fd7…1d26backed Yes8c125.25$10 inLost-$101656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64c3…75abbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost-$1011545.2%52 W · 63 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f08…54d3backed No80c62.5$50 inWon+$12.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.