Tennis · resolved market

Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miami Open?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88295a948c9342a4334a97837ee771adeb5ec7163f80ad9216593ffc7c4e9e5e

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $23,944
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $18,065

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,944 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Yes	5c	3,207$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.75	7,018	43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L	+124.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0d…5d0cbacked Yes	12c	3,088$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.78	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes	5c	1,635$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.47	527	50.3%265 W · 262 L	-6.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Yes	7c	1,534$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.3	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	793.56$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.52	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc8b…f894backed Yes	13c	269.27$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.45	87	24.1%21 W · 66 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes	6c	267.7$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	372	30.4%113 W · 259 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfc5…7b9cbacked Yes	7c	261.39$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Yes	9c	237.32$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.61	360	47.2%170 W · 190 L	+9.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes	7c	216.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.06	51	13.7%7 W · 44 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-36%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes	7c	194.68$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2d…0a58backed Yes	8c	153.82$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes	7c	152.33$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.14	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	9c	130.35$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.19	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miami Open?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event