TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0d25…81ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sarasota: Yibing Wu vs Stefan Dostanicbacked Stefan Dostanic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Luciano Darderibacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.59
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miami Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$32.5
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.83
Split: Maxim Mrva vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Maxim Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Split: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Alexander Vasilevbacked Eliakim Coulibaly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Morelia: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.05
Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.76
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$19.8
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Sebastian Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$125.78
Miami Open: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$77.4
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Men’s Singles Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.07
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Men’s Singles Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.46
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.59
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.46
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.99
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.78
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.77
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Delaware State Hornets vs. Morgan State Bearsbacked Morgan State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.05
USC Trojans vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+182.9%+$25.3
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Richmond Spidersbacked Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Northwestern Wildcatsbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.47
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.87
Syracuse Orange vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.79
Alcorn State Braves vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.62
All 13 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.