TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Northwestern Wildcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Northwestern Wildcatsof Penn State Nittany Lions, Northwestern Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,371

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,371 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa38a…821dbacked Northwestern Wildcats75c2,866$2,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.8349345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Penn State Nittany Lions31c2,313$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.831,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Northwestern Wildcats73c2,199$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.335,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Penn State Nittany Lions22c1,959$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.845,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Northwestern Wildcats74c1,954$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.518954.5%103 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Penn State Nittany Lions27c1,949$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.34,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Penn State Nittany Lions31c1,667$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.0127947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Northwestern Wildcats69c1,444$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.642,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Northwestern Wildcats71c1,347$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.953,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Penn State Nittany Lions31c1,216$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.9189850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Penn State Nittany Lions31c1,216$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.915752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Penn State Nittany Lions31c1,216$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.115748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Penn State Nittany Lions24c898.92$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.294,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Northwestern Wildcats75c851.8$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.321,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Penn State Nittany Lions23c818.45$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.122,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Penn State Nittany Lions30c800$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24055532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Northwestern Wildcats70c670.31$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.091,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Penn State Nittany Lions31c608.53$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.686752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Northwestern Wildcats70c595.59$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.6825254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Penn State Nittany Lions11c569.56$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7425829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Northwestern Wildcats70c546.59$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.9882048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Penn State Nittany Lions31c517.87$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7739454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Northwestern Wildcats73c512.28$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.461,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Penn State Nittany Lions30c508.42$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5321549.3%106 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Northwestern Wildcats69c460.65$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.82850%14 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Northwestern Wildcats70c446.69$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.0112147.9%58 W · 63 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Penn State Nittany Lions25c425.98$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Northwestern Wildcats70c425.42$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.632268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+43.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Northwestern Wildcats70c398.05$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.421,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Northwestern Wildcats70c343.56$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0721955.3%121 W · 98 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Penn State Nittany Lions32c323.23$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4321262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Northwestern Wildcats68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9649157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Penn State Nittany Lions31c297.75$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.31,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Penn State Nittany Lions31c293.78$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0725837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Northwestern Wildcats70c263.24$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.293,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Penn State Nittany Lions20c258.44$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.511,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Northwestern Wildcats76c232.82$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8277142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Penn State Nittany Lions30c223.39$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0229337.2%109 W · 184 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Penn State Nittany Lions30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee76…e67abacked Northwestern Wildcats68c182.48$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4411362.8%71 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Penn State Nittany Lions29c160.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6694036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Northwestern Wildcats78c157$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.542,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Penn State Nittany Lions30c154.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1516243.8%71 W · 91 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Northwestern Wildcats78c153.06$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8619057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Penn State Nittany Lions30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4524432%78 W · 166 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Northwestern Wildcats70c149.57$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.877460.8%45 W · 29 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Northwestern Wildcats69c148.98$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.891,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…7873backed Penn State Nittany Lions31c144.07$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.664040%16 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Northwestern Wildcats70c140.39$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.125052%26 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Northwestern Wildcats72c135.66$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9870349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9280…99b4backed Northwestern Wildcats73c121.64$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.614641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Penn State Nittany Lions15c117.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.651,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Northwestern Wildcats70c113.45$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0312655.6%70 W · 56 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe73e…08f0backed Northwestern Wildcats68c111.02$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.21742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2344…3dbebacked Northwestern Wildcats70c99.27$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.782755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked Penn State Nittany Lions18c97.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1810638.7%41 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Penn State Nittany Lions29c96.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.551,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Northwestern Wildcats71c96.02$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6245953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Northwestern Wildcats72c85.42$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1514049.3%69 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Penn State Nittany Lions19c85.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.961,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed Penn State Nittany Lions32c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.69845.9%45 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Northwestern Wildcats70c76.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2530054%162 W · 138 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Northwestern Wildcats69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.464,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Northwestern Wildcats78c72.26$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.96858.8%40 W · 28 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Northwestern Wildcats76c66.87$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.327346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Penn State Nittany Lions31c57.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6881528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Northwestern Wildcats69c55.26$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1333445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Penn State Nittany Lions24c53.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6219348.7%94 W · 99 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Northwestern Wildcats77c50.29$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.575438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd12…a7b8backed Northwestern Wildcats70c49.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8918644.6%83 W · 103 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Northwestern Wildcats74c49.48$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8816255.6%90 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Northwestern Wildcats66c41.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2746446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Northwestern Wildcats70c41.24$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3792246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Northwestern Wildcats78c39.76$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.751,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e61…d691backed Northwestern Wildcats71c33.62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.79666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Northwestern Wildcats68c32.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.352,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Northwestern Wildcats69c31.61$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.871655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Northwestern Wildcats74c29.87$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.879448.9%46 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…3c16backed Northwestern Wildcats69c28.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.921947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Northwestern Wildcats77c25.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0918548.6%90 W · 95 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Northwestern Wildcats72c20.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6232…85e5backed Northwestern Wildcats68c19.32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.145972.9%43 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Northwestern Wildcats69c18.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.884953.1%26 W · 23 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Northwestern Wildcats68c17.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7227650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b9c…da16backed Northwestern Wildcats66c17.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615066%99 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc11d…421bbacked Northwestern Wildcats70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.443956.4%22 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d25…81eebacked Northwestern Wildcats70c14.89$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.471338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.