Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecbb369d125748e5cbbdb098b2677f996754963dd21cd2371c2c37222ecb96d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wisconsin Badgersof Wisconsin Badgers, Illinois Fighting Illini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $294,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,454 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 6c | 49,603$3,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,203.09 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Wisconsin Badgers | 17c | 24,809$4,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,603.24 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 72c | 21,749$15,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,659.44 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wisconsin Badgers | 37c | 16,125$5,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,222.1 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Wisconsin Badgers | 24c | 12,184$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,304.41 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 24c | 10,381$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.48 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 77c | 7,101$5,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,445.5 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…9742backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 77c | 6,000$4,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,619.98 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 4,991$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,595.23 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 78c | 4,110$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190.23 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed Wisconsin Badgers | 25c | 4,098$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,068.95 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 78c | 3,843$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.64 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee6…48c6backed Wisconsin Badgers | 22c | 3,843$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,981 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 34c | 3,186$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.91 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 52c | 3,151$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.37 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 25c | 2,996$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.61 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 32c | 2,797$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.96 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Wisconsin Badgers | 26c | 2,500$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.04 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Wisconsin Badgers | 39c | 2,206$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.19 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Wisconsin Badgers | 23c | 2,117$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.65 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wisconsin Badgers | 45c | 2,020$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.41 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 25c | 1,780$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.64 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Wisconsin Badgers | 31c | 1,779$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.54 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 70c | 1,529$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.09 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 44c | 1,512$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.16 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 76c | 1,470$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.9 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 57c | 1,448$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.92 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Wisconsin Badgers | 18c | 1,333$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.06 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…d35fbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 78c | 1,292$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 57c | 1,274$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.51 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 57c | 1,159$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.81 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7551…b6b1backed Wisconsin Badgers | 23c | 1,001$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wisconsin Badgers | 30c | 875.19$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.07 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 44c | 874.96$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 23c | 857.79$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.03 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Wisconsin Badgers | 60c | 823.05$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.24 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 66c | 821.37$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.02 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Wisconsin Badgers | 16c | 803.03$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.79 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…77e6backed Wisconsin Badgers | 19c | 768.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.25 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Wisconsin Badgers | 17c | 735.28$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.29 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 77c | 728.15$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.33 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 11c | 703.71$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 79c | 699.39$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.07 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 74c | 677.69$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.49 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 76c | 597.99$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.17 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3966…c095backed Wisconsin Badgers | 47c | 519.17$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Wisconsin Badgers | 28c | 499.15$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.13 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 73c | 497.42$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.11 | 78 | 71.8%56 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 73c | 486.36$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.74 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 41c | 481.18$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.87 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 74c | 440.99$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.22 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Wisconsin Badgers | 45c | 405.42$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.95 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 31c | 385.75$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.64 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 26c | 383.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 54c | 383.98$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.34 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Wisconsin Badgers | 26c | 383.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.77 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Wisconsin Badgers | 30c | 382.79$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.64 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 74c | 382.54$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.08 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 79c | 376.89$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.27 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 24c | 373.6$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.94 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…e7babacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 75c | 370.2$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 32c | 367.37$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.05 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 77c | 314$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.78 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Wisconsin Badgers | 28c | 308.75$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 60c | 298.22$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.11 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 27c | 297.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.49 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 20c | 290.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.66 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 74c | 268.45$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.65 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 44c | 267.11$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.48 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 78c | 254.87$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.8 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Wisconsin Badgers | 56c | 247.4$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.05 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 50c | 239.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wisconsin Badgers | 9c | 234.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.42 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…56a0backed Wisconsin Badgers | 22c | 227.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.65 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Wisconsin Badgers | 10c | 225.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.77 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 65c | 223.74$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.32 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wisconsin Badgers | 49c | 208.75$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.64 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 74c | 202.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…a8e5backed Wisconsin Badgers | 18c | 202.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wisconsin Badgers | 24c | 199.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.53 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Wisconsin Badgers | 21c | 199.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.45 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1992…bab8backed Wisconsin Badgers | 23c | 198.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.94 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Wisconsin Badgers | 26c | 197.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.03 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…c6b9backed Wisconsin Badgers | 27c | 187.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 44c | 186.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.09 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 74c | 180.37$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.01 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Wisconsin Badgers | 22c | 178.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.01 | 273 | 58.6%160 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 78c | 168.27$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.25 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Wisconsin Badgers | 14c | 162.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.38 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wisconsin Badgers | 54c | 161.37$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…ac43backed Wisconsin Badgers | 18c | 160.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +259.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…0fefbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 48c | 153.54$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.84 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Wisconsin Badgers | 25c | 150$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3dd…53c1backed Wisconsin Badgers | 27c | 149.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 26c | 148.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 29c | 145.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 25c | 139.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.31 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 72c | 136.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed Wisconsin Badgers | 22c | 132.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.09 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinithis page
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-11.5)Wisconsin Badgers won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5)Wisconsin Badgers won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-8.5)Wisconsin Badgers won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-9.5)Wisconsin Badgers won
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 153.5Over won
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 156.5Over won
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 157.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.