World Politics · resolved market
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd07ad157463306284e16a0f897510948a1ff9904c4cbf0992e1421e62a079d38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $903,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $940,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $903,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57e0…559bbacked No | 26c | 68,221$17,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,805.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…e253backed No | 24c | 66,000$15,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,576 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…7eccbacked No | 36c | 50,398$17,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,939.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e4…ed18backed No | 28c | 44,000$12,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,408 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4213…3a06backed No | 40c | 41,650$16,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,708.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc962…9c30backed Yes | 65c | 26,200$16,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,301 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e3…7aebbacked No | 24c | 25,759$6,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,104.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0291…3c48backed Yes | 60c | 25,450$15,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,180 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3427…6c08backed Yes | 64c | 24,200$15,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,639.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…3834backed Yes | 74c | 23,566$17,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,150.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…f772backed Yes | 72c | 23,050$16,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25a5…ceccbacked Yes | 76c | 22,750$17,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,369 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed66…2a9fbacked Yes | 76c | 22,250$16,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,251 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6748…06bdbacked Yes | 74c | 22,071$16,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fc…f18abacked No | 24c | 21,100$5,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,065.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b03…3b15backed Yes | 74c | 21,009$15,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,483.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…74f5backed Yes | 76c | 21,000$16,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,956 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…9bb8backed Yes | 72c | 20,950$15,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,907.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade9…954abacked Yes | 60c | 16,200$9,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,528.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…4206backed Yes | 72c | 15,828$11,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,472.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1576…0654backed No | 25c | 11,400$2,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,861.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…4647backed Yes | 76c | 10,322$7,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e23…1d79backed Yes | 76c | 10,137$7,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,422.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db1…8269backed Yes | 63c | 8,704$5,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,209.48 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…5966backed Yes | 76c | 8,170$6,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba95…f3fbbacked Yes | 75c | 7,500$5,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x148c…1ddebacked Yes | 76c | 7,267$5,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…4e3ebacked Yes | 77c | 6,401$4,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.09 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53a…19a4backed No | 8c | 5,760$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.16 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 10cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60c6…3b92backed Yes | 77c | 5,650$4,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…3ffcbacked Yes | 75c | 5,650$4,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c5…b40abacked Yes | 77c | 5,150$3,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067c…b2efbacked Yes | 75c | 5,150$3,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b50dbacked No | 8c | 4,811$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe72…0fa3backed Yes | 75c | 4,300$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0325…16e7backed No | 8c | 4,168$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.64 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 19cpaid | +126%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Yes | 48c | 4,154$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.23 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40c…d6b4backed No | 3c | 3,741$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…c6c1backed Yes | 75c | 3,200$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…b3a6backed Yes | 63c | 3,060$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.78 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked No | 25c | 3,037$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.72 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…4d4dbacked Yes | 75c | 2,901$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.67 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…f63abacked Yes | 75c | 2,800$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…1835backed Yes | 75c | 2,800$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 8c | 2,739$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.19 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…ded8backed No | 8c | 2,518$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 4c | 2,345$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 38c | 2,144$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.05 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa9…e3bbbacked No | 6c | 2,097$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +144.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedee…f2b4backed Yes | 61c | 2,045$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.98 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Yes | 55c | 1,988$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.7 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…090cbacked No | 6c | 1,934$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 13c | 1,870$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.81 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 7c | 1,795$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.16 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 14c | 1,734$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.69 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 17c | 1,674$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.89 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2b0backed Yes | 74c | 1,576$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 5c | 1,516$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 5c | 1,308$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 6c | 1,299$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…837dbacked No | 5c | 1,260$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 4c | 1,246$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…29ddbacked Yes | 72c | 1,244$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 5c | 1,209$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265e…d223backed No | 4c | 1,169$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 2c | 1,158$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…eaedbacked No | 25c | 1,012$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed No | 20c | 990.18$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 43c | 819.32$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.32 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 76c | 744$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.42 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 67c | 720$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.43 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 56c | 698.19$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.25 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 14c | 661.77$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…4d3fbacked No | 25c | 638.09$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +139%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 20c | 533.52$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 16c | 522.02$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.19 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x356a…17e7backed No | 4c | 500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…b734backed No | 45c | 498$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…230dbacked Yes | 70c | 497.99$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 8c | 496.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 55 | 12.7%7 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 24c | 493.32$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.54 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…90aabacked No | 61c | 488.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9084…6732backed Yes | 68c | 482.26$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x413a…0008backed No | 35c | 462.59$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b24…c4bebacked Yes | 76c | 459.52$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 25c | 444$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8d51backed No | 49c | 391.26$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.33 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff8…973dbacked Yes | 52c | 388.7$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0777…4b7fbacked No | 9c | 383.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 4c | 373$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yes | 65c | 371.29$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.38 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 6c | 361.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b56…d1e1backed Yes | 52c | 358.13$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…79f7backed No | 29c | 337.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes | 53c | 337.34$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.64 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 5c | 332.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…2089backed No | 43c | 328.58$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked Yes | 63c | 314.2$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.42 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed No | 42c | 306.26$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…c782backed No | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?this page
- Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Cho Eung-chun win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Kim Byeong-ju win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Kim Moon-soo win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Lee Jun-seok win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Lee Un-ju win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Won Hee-ryong win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Yeom Tae-yeong win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.