World Politics · resolved market
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53060b1567b8860209bbbaf8fc8d2e7ac95539f54a995e125748252c48ec03d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $291,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,960$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x458a…5941backed Yes | 0c | 8,318$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3f…179dbacked Yes | 0c | 7,085$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…c918backed Yes | 0c | 4,718$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32c2…d317backed Yes | 0c | 4,718$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…d991backed Yes | 0c | 4,718$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c4…a5c5backed Yes | 0c | 4,718$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a66…9e92backed Yes | 0c | 4,718$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4bb6backed Yes | 0c | 4,718$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc36c…f8b3backed Yes | 0c | 4,718$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5a…16d5backed Yes | 0c | 4,718$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…0090backed Yes | 0c | 4,678$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…28febacked Yes | 0c | 3,928$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…6345backed Yes | 0c | 3,447$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ef…1331backed Yes | 0c | 3,447$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -32%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a96…c691backed Yes | 1c | 2,784$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9302…85ddbacked Yes | 1c | 2,237$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6e…de7fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,667$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f9…f161backed Yes | 1c | 1,633$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?this page
- Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Cho Eung-chun win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?Yes won
- Will Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Kim Byeong-ju win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Kim Moon-soo win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Lee Jun-seok win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Lee Un-ju win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Won Hee-ryong win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Yeom Tae-yeong win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.