TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,396
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,396 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8fe3…ded8backed Yes3c7,370$227 inLost-$227.22812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick5cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes3c6,500$163 inLost-$162.530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dce…4490backed Yes2c3,430$69 inLost-$69.024445.5%20 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x03cf…7e40backed Yes3c1,910$50 inLost-$49.87560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+64.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0adb…090cbacked Yes10c1,906$185 inLost-$185540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+71%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cc5…e03abacked Yes4c1,160$46 inLost-$46540%2 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick16cpaid+216.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c1,111$23 inLost-$23.271,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0ab…ab2ebacked Yes2c1,000$19 inLost-$18.861225%3 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+197.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes3c850.24$21 inLost-$21.361747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick30cpaid+240.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb31…6bc4backed Yes4c627$22 inLost-$22.520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97f…3465backed Yes2c569.76$10 inLost-$10.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick5cpaid+178.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd56a…c00fbacked Yes2c452.87$10 inLost-$10.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f21…805ebacked Yes3c343.52$10 inLost-$10.51315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-62.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x643c…3fc2backed Yes18c171$30 inLost-$30.351926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid+17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No80c121$96 inWon+$24.59656.3%54 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.