TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$276,371
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$174,422

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,371 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c28,050$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.14440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x791e…17ddbacked Yes25c19,432$4,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,937.383132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1c…4d4dbacked Yes39c17,363$6,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,743.615750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1cc…ced0backed Yes0c14,047$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9980%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b3…4155backed Yes0c12,895$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.898341%34 W · 49 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc53…9754backed Yes0c12,858$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.32583.4%2 W · 56 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c12,272$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.371691.8%3 W · 166 L+0.8wins0.00per pick1cpaid-52.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2f31backed Yes29c11,572$3,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,310.066726.9%18 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1276…3618backed No70c10,975$7,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,292.941323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-52.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf940…7736backed Yes1c10,807$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5676…b103backed No56c10,093$5,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,448.520538%78 W · 127 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8db1…8269backed No64c9,975$6,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,625.942536%9 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c5,661$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.981,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe24f…bae5backed Yes35c5,069$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,770.73825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+55.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeae7…1884backed Yes23c4,302$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.183040%12 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9769…5ebebacked Yes2c4,011$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe231…4e3ebacked No70c2,617$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.341457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fff…8c1fbacked Yes1c2,581$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d68…ca5ebacked Yes27c2,456$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes1c2,285$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.164922.4%11 W · 38 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe532…29dcbacked Yes48c2,096$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes32c1,437$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.044615.2%7 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-66.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes2c1,282$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7519315.5%30 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No74c1,263$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.232255%177 W · 145 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcffc…73f6backed Yes28c1,250$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes32c1,080$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.568330.1%25 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No73c914.99$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.126052.3%136 W · 124 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…90aabacked Yes48c838.37$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes2c800$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.41357.4%10 W · 125 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes2c786.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.422344.3%10 W · 224 L+0.2wins0.00per pick4cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18d…9863backed Yes22c749.59$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.617816.7%13 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46ee…eb1ebacked No56c699.99$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.96229%18 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8d5…8935backed Yes29c699.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010151.5%52 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf40…38b8backed No73c670.02$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.8210652.8%56 W · 50 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0579…aa36backed Yes25c614.76$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.0150%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes23c609.97$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.494729.8%14 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ca…4ac0backed No70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1804175.6%31 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd590…5eeebacked Yes23c433.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-38.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes5c422.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5510038%38 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…540cbacked Yes24c421.66$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.381533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No68c380.96$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.2715446.8%72 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f0…1d60backed Yes20c380$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca5b…f1fbbacked Yes34c378.99$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.16812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick52cpaid-78.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes23c372.2$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6134726.8%93 W · 254 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes26c359.5$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9556314.6%82 W · 481 L-39.3wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc152…e378backed No65c355.22$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.331070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+42.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ff8…973dbacked No64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Yes17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x22a2…e59abacked Yes18c293.77$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe947…7a45backed Yes32c292.78$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.817044.1%75 W · 95 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes21c291.81$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1544921.2%95 W · 354 L-21.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No73c276.94$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0718246.2%84 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedee…f2b4backed No73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.972544%11 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes36c263.71$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6613446.3%62 W · 72 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2220…5db4backed Yes41c246.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-62.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x507c…4166backed Yes24c246$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.025536.4%20 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d8b…926ebacked Yes36c239.66$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7330%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8219…eea8backed Yes23c219.01$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.04742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35f0…12b6backed Yes23c218.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501546.7%7 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick25cpaid+125%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2818628.5%53 W · 133 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2b…8fa4backed Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-73.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes26c195.86$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3824110.8%26 W · 215 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe6f…b760backed Yes21c194.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9940%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc54…26edbacked Yes29c181.58$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.64475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c17…06adbacked Yes28c180$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.460%0 W · 6 L-3.2wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7616…69eebacked Yes24c172.69$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.865431.5%17 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x415b…25e8backed Yes19c155.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-50.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcecf…5d89backed Yes33c150.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81d0…f1dabacked Yes35c140$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes30c133$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2918216.5%30 W · 152 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-34.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5499…0ed5backed Yes31c126.34$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.172433.3%8 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a64…5a68backed Yes27c125$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c7…5997backed Yes28c119.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc254…3f73backed Yes20c109.4$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.883228.1%9 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-49.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba80…d27bbacked Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes28c108.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3799017.2%170 W · 820 L-148.8wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-61.5%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes26c106.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0714250%71 W · 71 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337954.4%43 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac9…8469backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes18c99.54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0337117.8%66 W · 305 L-18.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25dd…5941backed Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e24…8266backed Yes35c90$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.23145.2%14 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+67.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2eb…c299backed Yes30c89.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.71442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddca…b0f3backed Yes30c82.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.171442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+39.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7273…ab4fbacked Yes28c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick52cpaid-75.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb6c…ee14backed Yes16c79.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.83644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ab…2048backed Yes26c78.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.392540%10 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes17c78.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5615650%78 W · 78 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9463…8f7bbacked Yes26c77.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7790…e3a0backed Yes38c77.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x253f…1682backed Yes26c76.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.89911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick36cpaid-63.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc91a…70febacked Yes30c75.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.63425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-59.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77d3…34d1backed Yes27c73.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6174…fbcabacked Yes40c71.1$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7022…f64ebacked No63c71$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.345837.9%22 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x714f…66d5backed Yes20c70$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411020.9%23 W · 87 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2aeb…0583backed No64c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.61947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe245…22afbacked Yes35c57.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked No67c54.45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.97450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.