World Politics · resolved market
Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46384761c67afa763135075051dd720984ed90d26fc3483d412549e64528fc7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $276,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 28,050$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Yes | 25c | 19,432$4,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,937.38 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…4d4dbacked Yes | 39c | 17,363$6,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,743.61 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cc…ced0backed Yes | 0c | 14,047$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Yes | 0c | 12,895$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…9754backed Yes | 0c | 12,858$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 12,272$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2f31backed Yes | 29c | 11,572$3,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,310.06 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…3618backed No | 70c | 10,975$7,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,292.94 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf940…7736backed Yes | 1c | 10,807$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed No | 56c | 10,093$5,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,448.5 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db1…8269backed No | 64c | 9,975$6,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,625.94 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 5,661$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…bae5backed Yes | 35c | 5,069$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…1884backed Yes | 23c | 4,302$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.18 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…5ebebacked Yes | 2c | 4,011$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…4e3ebacked No | 70c | 2,617$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.34 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…8c1fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,581$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d68…ca5ebacked Yes | 27c | 2,456$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,285$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe532…29dcbacked Yes | 48c | 2,096$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 32c | 1,437$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.04 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,282$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 74c | 1,263$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.2 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcffc…73f6backed Yes | 28c | 1,250$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,080$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.56 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 914.99$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.1 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…90aabacked Yes | 48c | 838.37$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 2c | 800$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 786.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18d…9863backed Yes | 22c | 749.59$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.61 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked No | 56c | 699.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.9 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 29c | 699.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 73c | 670.02$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.82 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0579…aa36backed Yes | 25c | 614.76$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes | 23c | 609.97$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.49 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd590…5eeebacked Yes | 23c | 433.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 5c | 422.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…540cbacked Yes | 24c | 421.66$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.38 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 68c | 380.96$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.27 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f0…1d60backed Yes | 20c | 380$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5b…f1fbbacked Yes | 34c | 378.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 52cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 23c | 372.2$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.61 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 26c | 359.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.95 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc152…e378backed No | 65c | 355.22$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff8…973dbacked No | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22a2…e59abacked Yes | 18c | 293.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed Yes | 32c | 292.78$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 21c | 291.81$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 73c | 276.94$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.07 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedee…f2b4backed No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 36c | 263.71$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.66 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…5db4backed Yes | 41c | 246.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed Yes | 24c | 246$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8b…926ebacked Yes | 36c | 239.66$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8219…eea8backed Yes | 23c | 219.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…12b6backed Yes | 23c | 218.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 25cpaid | +125%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…8fa4backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 26c | 195.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Yes | 21c | 194.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc54…26edbacked Yes | 29c | 181.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…06adbacked Yes | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Yes | 24c | 172.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x415b…25e8backed Yes | 19c | 155.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…5d89backed Yes | 33c | 150.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81d0…f1dabacked Yes | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 30c | 133$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…0ed5backed Yes | 31c | 126.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a64…5a68backed Yes | 27c | 125$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c7…5997backed Yes | 28c | 119.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed Yes | 20c | 109.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba80…d27bbacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 28c | 108.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 26c | 106.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac9…8469backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 18c | 99.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25dd…5941backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…8266backed Yes | 35c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…c299backed Yes | 30c | 89.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…b0f3backed Yes | 30c | 82.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7273…ab4fbacked Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6c…ee14backed Yes | 16c | 79.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed Yes | 26c | 78.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 17c | 78.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9463…8f7bbacked Yes | 26c | 77.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…e3a0backed Yes | 38c | 77.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…1682backed Yes | 26c | 76.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…70febacked Yes | 30c | 75.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…34d1backed Yes | 27c | 73.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6174…fbcabacked Yes | 40c | 71.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 63c | 71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 110 | 20.9%23 W · 87 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aeb…0583backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…22afbacked Yes | 35c | 57.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked No | 67c | 54.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?this page
- Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Cho Eung-chun win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?Yes won
- Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Kim Byeong-ju win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Kim Moon-soo win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Lee Jun-seok win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Lee Un-ju win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Won Hee-ryong win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Yeom Tae-yeong win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
- Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.