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World Politics · resolved market

Will Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$695,273
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$632,207

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $695,273 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf18d…9863backed Yes2c15,959$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.547816.7%13 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf940…7736backed Yes1c10,000$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c9,940$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.883614.4%16 W · 345 L-0.4wins0.00per pick5cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x570d…3d72backed Yes19c9,288$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-68.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes3c7,418$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.178330.1%25 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c5,946$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.651701.8%3 W · 167 L+0.8wins0.00per pick1cpaid-52.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c5,623$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.431,43710.2%147 W · 1,290 L-4.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc53…9754backed Yes0c5,560$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8583.4%2 W · 56 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes0c5,250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5372.7%1 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-59.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes4c3,513$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.886883.6%25 W · 663 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-59.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d6…58f0backed Yes1c3,493$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48283.6%1 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-67.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64cd…4294backed Yes5c3,424$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x992e…24edbacked Yes4c3,388$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes2c3,348$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.574440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba2e…72b0backed Yes6c3,156$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0055…dd37backed Yes4c3,023$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf7d8…4fa3backed Yes4c3,009$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc23…8a66backed Yes3c3,003$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1860%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21de…2c64backed Yes4c2,980$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86c8…2371backed Yes5c2,860$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9997…c994backed Yes3c2,711$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x389d…f1b5backed Yes7c2,656$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…b406backed Yes4c2,646$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8150…98a4backed Yes7c2,645$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82b2…042cbacked Yes4c2,600$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b6f…5184backed Yes4c2,595$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafa5…7e43backed Yes4c2,521$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda7b…6a04backed Yes3c2,446$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2036…7640backed Yes3c2,384$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d4a…7e8abacked Yes3c2,245$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8440%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23b9…56d9backed Yes4c2,240$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7db3…67dcbacked Yes8c2,238$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe182…1dfabacked Yes8c2,211$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.5630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e84…a3d0backed Yes4c2,189$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x654d…39edbacked Yes7c2,134$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c21…bc5fbacked Yes5c2,078$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes2c2,041$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.982344.3%10 W · 224 L+0.2wins0.00per pick4cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb75…730cbacked Yes3c2,007$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0624…4487backed Yes8c2,006$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.4650%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9afe…fe58backed Yes5c1,988$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf60a…0aecbacked Yes5c1,985$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2f…d0f7backed Yes5c1,886$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3983…81acbacked Yes5c1,874$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d5a…beeebacked Yes5c1,858$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd18…688abacked Yes4c1,833$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5440%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3943…f3c1backed Yes4c1,831$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a96…891fbacked Yes2c1,822$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5feb…0601backed Yes5c1,819$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac6…2c6fbacked Yes6c1,803$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc3f7…fa0dbacked Yes3c1,778$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.571729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+197.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8ec…470cbacked Yes2c1,772$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x602d…b4c7backed Yes5c1,764$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3513…8595backed Yes8c1,749$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e44…322cbacked Yes10c1,745$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5da…2bf4backed Yes8c1,716$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e3c…fffcbacked Yes5c1,693$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b65…d656backed Yes3c1,681$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c0…3b4ebacked Yes3c1,646$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes4c1,638$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.554615.2%7 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-66.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e54…fc2dbacked Yes5c1,636$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x917c…9bb4backed Yes3c1,628$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51de…bda8backed Yes5c1,620$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e20…9776backed Yes3c1,571$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes2c1,563$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.31357.4%10 W · 125 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d1d…30e0backed Yes4c1,552$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ed…ceedbacked Yes7c1,552$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6113…7232backed Yes5c1,534$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c8…cad4backed Yes6c1,523$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0cef…656cbacked Yes6c1,521$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7441…3be6backed Yes4c1,490$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5279…5aabbacked Yes4c1,480$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a0e…9b1abacked Yes8c1,476$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba17…c1edbacked Yes3c1,472$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9415…4c4cbacked Yes3c1,463$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd276…9d69backed Yes4c1,449$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b5…16bfbacked Yes3c1,436$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+76.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66b3…64a4backed Yes2c1,403$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.87333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick3cpaid+880.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x182c…c558backed Yes4c1,387$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd78…4d1fbacked Yes4c1,379$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06ab…8cc0backed Yes3c1,372$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x803c…6efbbacked Yes7c1,369$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21c4…7771backed Yes7c1,366$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.89333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick8cpaid+247.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3898…738ebacked Yes4c1,356$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa060…2e55backed Yes5c1,348$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd65b…b7dcbacked Yes7c1,331$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.83333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick6cpaid+640.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fed…cfa3backed Yes6c1,326$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9140%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9633…f4c5backed Yes4c1,311$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d2b…6b4dbacked Yes7c1,292$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24f5…df24backed Yes3c1,285$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf224…3fdfbacked Yes3c1,273$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2840%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a39…3a9dbacked Yes3c1,267$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8647…3e4dbacked Yes4c1,256$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c32…489ebacked Yes3c1,254$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5d…a7f9backed Yes3c1,254$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1340%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd414…3618backed Yes4c1,228$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e5…83d7backed Yes4c1,227$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c57…56ffbacked Yes4c1,221$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b24…e8b2backed Yes4c1,202$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1c2…89abbacked Yes2c1,200$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51010%1 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick3cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes7c1,199$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1724110.8%26 W · 215 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.