AI · resolved market
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ac0f239c53763cc907a6707eb73d3b6a5b3308584efe37b10bad4174918377c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,984,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,349,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,984,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 752 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4712…29ddbacked Yes | 77c | 39,286$30,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,144.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed No | 12c | 27,138$3,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,144.1 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977c…45f0backed No | 7c | 17,316$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.46 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 1c | 14,600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.5 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 13c | 13,743$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.2 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…c549backed No | 1c | 13,662$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 7c | 11,885$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.58 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768c…49c3backed No | 11c | 10,857$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa32a…50d1backed Yes | 69c | 10,107$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…a0e7backed No | 11c | 10,000$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.68 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…9274backed Yes | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked No | 3c | 9,093$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.24 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 7c | 7,799$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.7 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 62c | 7,676$4,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948.07 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…e459backed No | 13c | 7,446$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 8c | 7,214$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.71 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 75c | 6,946$5,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…3c2dbacked Yes | 77c | 6,672$5,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.4 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked No | 10c | 6,496$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.45 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked No | 3c | 6,188$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.04 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 16c | 5,915$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.72 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f4…2e5ebacked Yes | 78c | 5,640$4,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a3…1807backed Yes | 71c | 5,624$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2188…7a8dbacked Yes | 72c | 5,589$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…50c8backed Yes | 73c | 5,437$3,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 79c | 5,106$4,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.13 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8df…abd7backed No | 6c | 5,097$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.67 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 9c | 4,474$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…13b1backed No | 12c | 4,150$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c06…ead9backed No | 12c | 4,063$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked Yes | 77c | 3,899$3,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2b8ebacked Yes | 79c | 3,625$2,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed Yes | 70c | 3,500$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 0c | 3,482$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 18c | 3,434$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.01 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed No | 30c | 3,334$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 10c | 3,151$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.34 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 65c | 3,129$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.35 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…6bb7backed No | 11c | 3,050$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 11c | 2,970$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.85 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 6c | 2,776$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.94 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…decfbacked Yes | 73c | 2,747$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 8c | 2,711$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.01 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Yes | 70c | 2,708$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 13c | 2,580$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.77 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b16…961fbacked Yes | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed No | 9c | 2,497$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.52 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 12c | 2,479$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.82 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f73…acefbacked No | 17c | 2,371$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x837a…77e1backed No | 10c | 2,286$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f0…09febacked No | 13c | 2,282$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752d…d335backed Yes | 75c | 2,276$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 9c | 2,259$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.79 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…6f43backed No | 11c | 2,105$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked No | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x856c…0ef3backed No | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed No | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…8b5dbacked No | 9c | 1,900$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked No | 10c | 1,893$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.98 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 9c | 1,891$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.1 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…9719backed No | 10c | 1,856$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 18c | 1,851$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.34 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…5866backed Yes | 70c | 1,845$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…b979backed No | 30c | 1,809$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc3…c657backed No | 13c | 1,800$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…888fbacked Yes | 68c | 1,648$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked No | 9c | 1,639$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…88ccbacked No | 18c | 1,576$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.49 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962d…dc4cbacked Yes | 70c | 1,574$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 3c | 1,567$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked No | 9c | 1,547$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.78 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f5…c967backed No | 7c | 1,517$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 3cpaid | +141.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…f9a8backed No | 9c | 1,507$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59be…5d9fbacked Yes | 63c | 1,450$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2503…9be5backed No | 7c | 1,430$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…c01ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,425$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 6c | 1,411$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.12 | 59 | 1.7%1 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 6c | 1,360$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed No | 9c | 1,354$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.69 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f24…6db6backed Yes | 70c | 1,340$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890e…8084backed Yes | 80c | 1,300$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…0d59backed Yes | 77c | 1,289$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13eabacked Yes | 75c | 1,281$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dba…d397backed No | 10c | 1,262$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.82 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9f…047ebacked Yes | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4733…8738backed No | 4c | 1,245$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 13c | 1,224$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.87 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…3a40backed No | 6c | 1,200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed No | 10c | 1,180$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddc…a869backed No | 17c | 1,173$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…b294backed Yes | 70c | 1,153$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…83b3backed Yes | 76c | 1,145$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed No | 1c | 1,100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +146.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d1…a152backed Yes | 70c | 1,095$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…7c64backed No | 9c | 1,094$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed Yes | 71c | 1,093$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.56 | 109 | 33.9%37 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…57c4backed No | 9c | 1,088$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66d8…b965backed Yes | 74c | 1,081$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf401…f40dbacked Yes | 73c | 1,047$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.