AI · resolved market
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93a144757495d68c867022424152e77ed5ff20a473cb05e16960de2b88300bd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,245,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,301,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,245,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 387 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcae6…a0e7backed Yes | 1c | 236,286$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,526.46 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 109,130$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.69 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 99,998$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 10.7%8 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af1…5a2dbacked Yes | 1c | 92,806$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.54 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 0c | 88,283$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.07 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 65,836$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.17 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8524…2af7backed Yes | 1c | 61,206$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Yes | 0c | 50,319$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58fd…43a6backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…fe53backed Yes | 0c | 48,467$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.97 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…9f9fbacked Yes | 0c | 39,632$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae23…142ebacked Yes | 1c | 25,315$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…6f93backed Yes | 0c | 22,538$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.58 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -67%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x706c…c97bbacked Yes | 0c | 19,446$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc46…899abacked Yes | 0c | 18,507$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 0c | 15,744$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…4c5cbacked Yes | 0c | 13,220$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b50…3bd1backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 11,490$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6d…a325backed Yes | 0c | 11,307$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66dc…425abacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…e4efbacked Yes | 0c | 10,776$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 10,600$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6302…7917backed Yes | 1c | 9,708$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…d0e1backed Yes | 0c | 8,787$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…84eebacked Yes | 0c | 8,597$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd11…624abacked Yes | 3c | 8,277$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…8019backed Yes | 1c | 8,218$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.51 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51a4…31f7backed Yes | 0c | 8,136$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 7,922$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…6d47backed Yes | 0c | 7,700$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 2cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf957…b37bbacked Yes | 0c | 7,675$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -51%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a96…c691backed Yes | 1c | 7,632$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 0c | 7,436$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c8…ec9ebacked Yes | 0c | 7,283$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464a…4aa5backed Yes | 1c | 7,046$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 0c | 6,869$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbc…0680backed Yes | 2c | 6,809$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…727dbacked Yes | 2c | 6,590$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,211$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Yes | 1c | 6,126$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 6,089$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22bd…1ee3backed Yes | 2c | 6,085$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85dc…89f3backed Yes | 2c | 6,034$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,483$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 59 | 1.7%1 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a7…ce92backed Yes | 2c | 5,384$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…a0f2backed Yes | 0c | 5,161$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 5,145$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…1acfbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d6…f172backed Yes | 2c | 4,966$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 2c | 4,886$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 59 | 3.4%2 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…6fa3backed Yes | 1c | 4,623$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa347…cf8fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,612$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…cb17backed Yes | 0c | 4,594$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d9…39c6backed Yes | 1c | 4,551$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…0165backed Yes | 1c | 4,503$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac55…79adbacked Yes | 1c | 4,422$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…2fb1backed Yes | 1c | 4,391$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…caaabacked Yes | 0c | 4,390$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0718…f057backed Yes | 2c | 4,352$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…312fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,339$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…1654backed Yes | 2c | 4,307$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…62ccbacked Yes | 2c | 4,261$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4f…5aedbacked Yes | 2c | 4,253$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b51…afb7backed Yes | 2c | 4,168$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…bb94backed Yes | 2c | 4,112$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe943…80ccbacked Yes | 2c | 4,080$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8279…b4b4backed Yes | 2c | 3,984$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa646…8fe4backed Yes | 2c | 3,944$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…2fe5backed Yes | 2c | 3,937$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x770b…bd69backed Yes | 2c | 3,893$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa88f…ed3dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,871$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,861$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…e162backed Yes | 2c | 3,842$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bd…8865backed Yes | 2c | 3,842$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…0461backed Yes | 2c | 3,792$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…fa73backed Yes | 0c | 3,750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9a…479cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,744$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a6…8651backed Yes | 1c | 3,694$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 2c | 3,680$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2672…91a6backed Yes | 2c | 3,680$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5899…4623backed Yes | 0c | 3,630$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9e…de2abacked Yes | 2c | 3,527$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb92c…393abacked Yes | 1c | 3,513$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 1c | 3,408$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf83…38a6backed Yes | 2c | 3,402$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec1…9a11backed Yes | 0c | 3,388$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x416f…84c3backed Yes | 1c | 3,285$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fc…9f99backed Yes | 2c | 3,261$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…8ee4backed Yes | 1c | 3,195$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 3,130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf90…a5d0backed Yes | 2c | 3,079$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb499…a59cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,043$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,915$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…7db1backed Yes | 0c | 2,905$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 1c | 2,898$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 79 | 6.3%5 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…9f7cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,788$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…9722backed Yes | 0c | 2,745$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…a5b9backed Yes | 0c | 2,673$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…01a6backed Yes | 2c | 2,655$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes won
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.