AI · resolved market
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8683df5ebcc52d9f3577ce65667082544b368f7e3b84120aa345b31dd89d832
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,398,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $856,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,398,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 129,856$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.66 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…a0e7backed Yes | 1c | 100,776$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.4 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…3154backed Yes | 0c | 69,272$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8df…abd7backed Yes | 0c | 47,746$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.91 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 37,503$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.76 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 31,402$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.45 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58fd…43a6backed Yes | 0c | 29,999$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…e1edbacked Yes | 0c | 20,905$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -80%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…abf5backed Yes | 1c | 19,093$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…d4b2backed Yes | 0c | 18,898$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ae…4cf1backed Yes | 0c | 16,500$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 53 | 1.9%1 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 15,200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 13,700$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 4c | 13,658$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.7 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 11,207$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.74 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x139b…7c60backed Yes | 1c | 10,780$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.09 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 4c | 10,600$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.29 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3258…0716backed Yes | 0c | 10,500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b19…eeabbacked Yes | 1c | 10,278$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcd…d7e3backed Yes | 1c | 9,093$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff6d…a325backed Yes | 0c | 8,973$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 8,791$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…f38bbacked Yes | 0c | 8,182$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaf…24f8backed Yes | 0c | 8,137$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…729cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,752$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…8a3cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,454$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 7,367$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.85 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 0c | 6,600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x964a…2b6bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,563$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 3c | 6,500$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.5 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 3c | 6,499$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.01 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 6,363$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.88 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 6,299$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.93 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ce…16babacked Yes | 7c | 6,059$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…35c9backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1163…6ac6backed Yes | 1c | 5,730$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 0c | 5,558$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 5,537$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Yes | 1c | 5,457$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…58ecbacked Yes | 1c | 5,347$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…b47dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…c5aebacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…9f9fbacked Yes | 0c | 4,600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x957f…f1d7backed Yes | 0c | 4,405$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb017…66aabacked Yes | 0c | 4,356$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…f7a2backed Yes | 0c | 4,270$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…c54fbacked Yes | 3c | 4,228$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 2c | 4,152$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.75 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66b…0b8bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,056$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +77%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,038$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…2992backed Yes | 1c | 4,026$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…7b4dbacked Yes | 0c | 3,930$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,627$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9c…2b80backed Yes | 1c | 3,623$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…95a9backed Yes | 0c | 3,454$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0221…1b41backed Yes | 0c | 3,439$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Yes | 1c | 3,367$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd747…d4c2backed Yes | 4c | 3,328$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 4c | 3,281$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.07 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,137$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 5c | 3,013$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.11 | 59 | 1.7%1 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…6fa8backed Yes | 1c | 2,997$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 2,834$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Yes | 4c | 2,706$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 2c | 2,697$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…c6aabacked Yes | 6c | 2,617$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.77 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c9…7095backed Yes | 1c | 2,528$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e62…938bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,503$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…005fbacked Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf950…d17ebacked Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…2c94backed Yes | 1c | 2,438$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…05f9backed Yes | 2c | 2,262$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 3c | 2,257$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 3c | 2,205$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 4c | 2,200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7f…1745backed Yes | 0c | 2,197$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…9722backed Yes | 1c | 2,175$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca52…0cdfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,877$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf44a…4cbdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,850$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…9074backed Yes | 6c | 1,773$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…19d2backed Yes | 1c | 1,675$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ea…026dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,651$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…36f3backed Yes | 1c | 1,648$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…637dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,487$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,446$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f58…c116backed Yes | 3c | 1,421$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed Yes | 7c | 1,403$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 109 | 33.9%37 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,388$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…f467backed Yes | 1c | 1,344$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 1,341$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3299…90ebbacked Yes | 3c | 1,319$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 1c | 1,316$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…fbecbacked Yes | 2c | 1,305$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a88…3789backed Yes | 2c | 1,281$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…b258backed Yes | 1c | 1,268$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 1,213$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5864…e473backed Yes | 3c | 1,197$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes won
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.