Middle East · resolved market
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1161c3b9969ad118659e604b2442c858bca0f76d1564e277178e5cf628dac974
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,420,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,304,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,420,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 571 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 78c | 107,669$84,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,666.07 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x053d…caedbacked No | 31c | 82,447$25,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,741.65 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 3c | 57,552$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.99 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 6c | 39,035$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.77 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…7489backed Yes | 51c | 35,316$18,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,189.6 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 7c | 30,040$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.01 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 79c | 21,804$17,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,511.27 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd35b…4a53backed No | 1c | 20,000$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +1,061.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed Yes | 63c | 17,007$10,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,290.79 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +11.2wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 62c | 16,665$10,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,349.13 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 4c | 16,600$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.51 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed No | 1c | 16,122$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.78 | 114 | 6.1%7 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe437…ed7dbacked No | 1c | 15,749$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.97 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 2c | 15,076$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.56 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46c9…7636backed No | 15c | 14,998$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.99 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked No | 35c | 14,695$5,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,118.41 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…49edbacked No | 73c | 14,500$10,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,512.86 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 15c | 12,906$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.19 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…a156backed No | 37c | 12,904$4,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,756.85 | 155 | 41.9%65 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe089…0e89backed No | 0c | 12,722$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…73f9backed Yes | 68c | 12,252$8,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975.17 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 53c | 11,397$6,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,328.62 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked No | 3c | 11,068$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.14 | 87 | 19.5%17 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9f…069fbacked No | 2c | 11,027$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 42c | 10,852$4,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,532.53 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…0fe5backed No | 69c | 10,589$7,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,266.92 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked Yes | 73c | 10,113$7,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.59 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ae…a7aabacked No | 5c | 9,971$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 56c | 8,580$4,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,769.96 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…e19fbacked Yes | 35c | 8,447$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,457.32 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed No | 11c | 8,095$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.05 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 39c | 7,764$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,757.98 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 40c | 7,048$2,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,263.1 | 225 | 29.8%67 W · 158 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aac…66fbbacked No | 34c | 6,595$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.89 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes | 63c | 6,473$4,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.6 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +131%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0254…2189backed No | 43c | 6,409$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…6477backed No | 0c | 6,237$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…f569backed Yes | 37c | 6,215$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,901.12 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41d1…0a19backed No | 5c | 6,064$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed No | 11c | 6,053$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.12 | 130 | 22.3%29 W · 101 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 21c | 5,965$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,693.68 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed Yes | 45c | 5,662$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,141.61 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked No | 13c | 5,609$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.09 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…1feabacked Yes | 42c | 5,608$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,275.23 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b3…8f88backed No | 0c | 5,122$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…46a3backed No | 40c | 5,108$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…f03fbacked Yes | 10c | 4,853$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,353.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +385.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked Yes | 66c | 4,811$3,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.37 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…bf99backed Yes | 53c | 4,627$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.96 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…8187backed No | 3c | 4,494$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…8720backed Yes | 41c | 4,417$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.76 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 72c | 4,102$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.35 | 281 | 26.3%74 W · 207 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f58…62a5backed No | 77c | 4,063$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,115.04 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3379…f0b4backed Yes | 25c | 3,913$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,946.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9c…2a50backed Yes | 13c | 3,848$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,347.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.48per pick | 23cpaid | +441.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…0a7abacked No | 1c | 3,535$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3958…82e3backed No | 57c | 3,513$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.77 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Yes | 44c | 3,464$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.32 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…1fcabacked No | 11c | 3,400$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.4 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b3…c131backed No | 1c | 3,326$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +309.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf38…9005backed No | 9c | 3,270$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x486a…70fcbacked No | 60c | 3,168$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked Yes | 62c | 3,115$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.67 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa9…9072backed Yes | 39c | 3,083$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.9 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +40%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed No | 2c | 3,073$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe9…15a9backed No | 1c | 3,069$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed No | 13c | 3,006$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.61 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fa…1a63backed Yes | 61c | 3,001$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.77 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 19c | 2,997$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.81 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed No | 53c | 2,953$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.53 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 23c | 2,939$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682 | 202 | 43.1%87 W · 115 L | +30.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked No | 4c | 2,860$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.41 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a8…bb66backed No | 43c | 2,830$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.46 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…5433backed No | 63c | 2,693$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.99 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 30c | 2,607$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc087…6201backed No | 1c | 2,579$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 70c | 2,544$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.15 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed No | 3c | 2,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…f03ebacked No | 13c | 2,481$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.6 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked No | 56c | 2,336$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43bb…26dbbacked Yes | 43c | 2,329$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.91 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8d3fbacked No | 63c | 2,238$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.03 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…e5fcbacked Yes | 26c | 2,190$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.96 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec4c…ee64backed No | 14c | 2,162$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes | 34c | 2,137$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.74 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +9.4wins | +0.39per pick | 15cpaid | +308.2%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…da5dbacked No | 3c | 2,121$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked No | 7c | 2,089$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.74 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…6d54backed No | 6c | 2,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…7a45backed No | 1c | 1,986$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked No | 2c | 1,934$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 17c | 1,907$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.83 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…2515backed Yes | 37c | 1,899$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +252.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 27c | 1,856$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.29 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…31d4backed Yes | 20c | 1,788$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.04 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 17c | 1,761$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.24 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…8a02backed No | 53c | 1,712$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9849…2ee5backed Yes | 14c | 1,692$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.96 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8f…40cfbacked Yes | 38c | 1,666$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked Yes | 49c | 1,659$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.66 | 210 | 34.3%72 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?this page
- Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.