IPO · resolved market
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dbeee81527f6d4868a6e500fca15d8905a6dda0e9b1f525145a4ad813bac98e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- IPOevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $785,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $853,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $785,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 721 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in IPO is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in IPO | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 2c | 37,520$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.22 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 6c | 24,876$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 57c | 20,004$11,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,529.52 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…3ebfbacked No | 44c | 19,401$8,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,530.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfd…7b04backed No | 0c | 12,454$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed No | 33c | 12,307$4,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,023.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 10,249$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.36 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 14c | 8,836$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.36 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5d…1aaabacked No | 31c | 8,513$2,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,676.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 1c | 8,325$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b9…4f10backed No | 0c | 8,302$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…d725backed No | 25c | 8,245$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.28 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…7699backed Yes | 68c | 8,000$5,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 7c | 7,839$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.38 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…16acbacked Yes | 75c | 7,775$5,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 34c | 7,290$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc76…0ad0backed Yes | 68c | 6,536$4,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ca…4166backed No | 5c | 5,651$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…bbd8backed No | 0c | 5,545$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 27c | 5,186$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.69 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 5,052$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 4,795$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.41 | 127 | 4.7%6 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…bcd2backed No | 1c | 4,500$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 73c | 4,498$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.41 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e7…40b4backed No | 3c | 4,200$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74c…434cbacked No | 5c | 4,021$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 26c | 4,002$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 8c | 3,576$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.99 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…207dbacked Yes | 68c | 3,566$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…f400backed No | 36c | 3,345$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3332…cf9dbacked No | 39c | 3,264$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…dcd8backed Yes | 55c | 3,187$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…a9d4backed No | 32c | 3,092$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d7…4952backed No | 33c | 2,820$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 74c | 2,808$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.67 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e5…21dabacked No | 15c | 2,795$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked No | 29c | 2,766$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…c209backed No | 3c | 2,690$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f43…68d8backed No | 27c | 2,658$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 71c | 2,572$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +49%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 32c | 2,550$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.61 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28a4…15eebacked No | 3c | 2,500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6056…c27cbacked Yes | 67c | 2,500$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 36c | 2,500$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…e86dbacked No | 11c | 2,493$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…074bbacked No | 0c | 2,459$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 10c | 2,418$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.99 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +165%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 29c | 2,305$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0d…db1dbacked No | 5c | 2,280$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f6…5e2dbacked No | 12c | 2,275$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 60c | 2,245$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85c…ed6bbacked No | 1c | 2,136$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed No | 24c | 2,094$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 2c | 2,037$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 1c | 2,005$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 84 | 1.2%1 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 8cpaid | -98.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…982dbacked No | 3c | 2,002$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea63…06fabacked No | 3c | 1,986$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x269a…f6bfbacked No | 9c | 1,951$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469c…309bbacked Yes | 70c | 1,876$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1232…6158backed No | 1c | 1,836$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed No | 29c | 1,826$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1083…be16backed Yes | 57c | 1,802$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 2c | 1,777$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes | 70c | 1,723$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ae…7347backed No | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…64ddbacked Yes | 74c | 1,595$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6f…0e5fbacked No | 41c | 1,550$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 12c | 1,514$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.12 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 68c | 1,471$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.84 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd640…480cbacked No | 5c | 1,452$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e5…48dbbacked Yes | 69c | 1,451$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…be8cbacked No | 21c | 1,423$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…a6debacked No | 43c | 1,392$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ef…812cbacked No | 2c | 1,375$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b9…2671backed No | 33c | 1,345$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…b65fbacked No | 3c | 1,345$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…2c0dbacked No | 33c | 1,319$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Yes | 77c | 1,303$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed No | 32c | 1,292$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 23c | 1,290$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.86 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…71edbacked No | 30c | 1,286$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c5…af5dbacked No | 43c | 1,225$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 27c | 1,223$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.61 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…ebaebacked Yes | 45c | 1,212$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 63c | 1,189$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8f…b920backed Yes | 65c | 1,183$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 17c | 1,145$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.24 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…445cbacked Yes | 76c | 1,144$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb8…ec8dbacked Yes | 68c | 1,123$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed No | 4c | 1,088$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -77%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a80…cfdcbacked Yes | 61c | 1,088$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked No | 58c | 1,087$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 4c | 1,070$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0f…46f2backed Yes | 74c | 1,051$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe821…b27ebacked Yes | 54c | 1,045$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…f6b9backed No | 37c | 1,040$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 2c | 1,037$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…df66backed No | 46c | 1,022$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 68c | 1,018$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.28 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed No | 40c | 1,007$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in IPO and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?this page
- Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?No won
- Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?No won
- Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.