IPO · resolved market
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58ae4880738f502cf9c3ca8e1f7747ead62c32308ca520efd16ee0f91af06415
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- IPOevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $423,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $453,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $423,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in IPO is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in IPO | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1a6…467bbacked No | 1c | 50,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 0c | 26,169$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…543abacked No | 0c | 21,694$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 0c | 18,150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…33acbacked No | 10c | 14,706$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 4c | 11,950$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.46 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6925…e21cbacked No | 1c | 9,031$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…3ebfbacked No | 9c | 8,097$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 3c | 7,844$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 8c | 7,273$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.8 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 4c | 6,571$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.96 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3332…cf9dbacked No | 9c | 6,200$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 7c | 5,923$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75c5…af5dbacked No | 13c | 4,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 4c | 4,449$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked No | 5c | 4,427$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 5c | 4,103$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.09 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 8c | 4,055$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.73 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -72%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…ad3abacked No | 8c | 3,960$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…8fb9backed No | 5c | 3,336$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.36 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 8c | 2,913$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.09 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 2,593$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 127 | 4.7%6 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 15c | 2,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…6b3abacked No | 10c | 1,700$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 2c | 1,447$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 116 | 34.5%40 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +165%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d7…4952backed No | 9c | 1,143$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…d725backed No | 8c | 1,031$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.49 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…e86dbacked No | 4c | 975.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf81…697dbacked No | 3c | 912$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…04e8backed No | 12c | 834.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 3c | 818.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 4c | 800$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 1c | 783.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8431…0563backed No | 11c | 703.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe472…e7ebbacked No | 7c | 699.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 5c | 675.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -79%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 8c | 600$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed No | 2c | 600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd113…5971backed No | 7c | 539.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 10c | 537.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 8c | 534.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed No | 2c | 515$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…b994backed No | 12c | 417.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9e…0841backed No | 8c | 394.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a9…c87abacked No | 12c | 371.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked No | 3c | 369.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…72e4backed No | 10c | 358.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859c…ac22backed No | 27c | 337.94$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed No | 9c | 283.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed No | 26c | 276.92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf9…8e69backed No | 7c | 267.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 9c | 258.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7487…5f63backed No | 4c | 252.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…c1a5backed No | 10c | 251.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…2befbacked No | 13c | 238.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 4c | 237.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…1eb4backed No | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 8c | 209.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fa…4f2dbacked No | 8c | 201$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed No | 8c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed No | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6f…0e5fbacked No | 10c | 199.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea17…0b65backed No | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c52…6689backed No | 14c | 144.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f43…68d8backed No | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…6377backed No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ae…5a98backed No | 10c | 122.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bb…bdb8backed No | 16c | 121.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…6882backed No | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…f6b9backed No | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed No | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…9800backed No | 10c | 109.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9f…7747backed No | 15c | 101.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…787cbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…dcc9backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf52d…0cfcbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…7b59backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…dcd8backed Yes | 75c | 71.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…3eeebacked No | 15c | 66.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…74dcbacked No | 20c | 63.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked Yes | 79c | 55.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…e9c7backed No | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 80c | 34.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed Yes | 76c | 26.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae01…0c40backed Yes | 77c | 18.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in IPO and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?this page
- Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?No won
- Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.