IPO · resolved market
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13ca9f55fed9ce4094d90fe1ab5f63c0d371d1589dfffe247a3c1c13d6fb0477
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- IPOevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $685,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $691,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $685,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 418 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in IPO is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in IPO | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3844…7285backed No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…ac0bbacked No | 1c | 36,508$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…bbd8backed No | 0c | 30,100$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 1c | 17,632$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.15 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 6c | 14,482$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc76…0ad0backed Yes | 43c | 14,465$6,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,283.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ad…6866backed No | 2c | 13,998$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 77c | 12,369$9,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,466.47 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b9…4f10backed No | 2c | 12,123$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbe…019cbacked No | 2c | 11,849$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 19c | 11,640$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,428.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d37…71aebacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…5189backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 17c | 8,195$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.33 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 8,174$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f9…1d08backed Yes | 77c | 6,352$4,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 3c | 6,141$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.09 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed No | 0c | 6,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 3c | 5,670$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,517.61 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +165%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…61f4backed No | 1c | 5,351$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfe…0a5ebacked Yes | 17c | 5,313$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400.22 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a4…15eebacked No | 7c | 5,200$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3d…9e08backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f13…be56backed Yes | 16c | 4,859$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,058.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +203.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 68c | 4,534$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.59 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e6…5528backed No | 1c | 4,300$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…1006backed No | 2c | 4,251$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf155…76bdbacked No | 65c | 4,037$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7081…818bbacked Yes | 17c | 4,036$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,367.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 67c | 3,926$2,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,622.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 54c | 3,620$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.5 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…b65fbacked No | 2c | 3,545$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.19 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ca…4166backed No | 16c | 3,067$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a2…6992backed No | 17c | 2,806$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 58c | 2,733$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff03…aedbbacked Yes | 9c | 2,616$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +426.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1232…6158backed No | 2c | 2,551$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked Yes | 74c | 2,499$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +166.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 11c | 2,492$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.56 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3c…a801backed No | 16c | 2,465$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked No | 12c | 2,428$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…dc48backed No | 16c | 2,251$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a87…6548backed Yes | 12c | 2,221$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +762.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…762fbacked No | 22c | 2,136$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…2f6dbacked Yes | 80c | 2,093$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 34c | 2,061$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.56 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb3…9a5fbacked Yes | 78c | 2,009$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed No | 1c | 2,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 5c | 2,000$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…17b0backed No | 2c | 2,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 15c | 1,907$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae0…e598backed No | 13c | 1,790$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,750$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 2cpaid | +548.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374c…4531backed No | 5c | 1,726$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 29c | 1,693$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 9c | 1,671$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.27 | 84 | 1.2%1 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 8cpaid | -98.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…156ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,641$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +838.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed Yes | 8c | 1,634$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,157.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 1c | 1,570$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…bbd6backed No | 1c | 1,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 17c | 1,453$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.92 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…ee01backed Yes | 77c | 1,431$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked No | 25c | 1,400$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed No | 16c | 1,395$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 43c | 1,392$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…1293backed No | 18c | 1,367$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 11c | 1,353$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.98 | 127 | 4.7%6 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 2c | 1,300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe035…b7b8backed No | 24c | 1,297$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 16c | 1,255$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -79%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 2c | 1,234$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef3…c555backed Yes | 79c | 1,231$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…5ceabacked Yes | 78c | 1,200$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes | 43c | 1,191$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.32 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a49…15e6backed No | 5c | 1,145$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…d7ffbacked No | 17c | 1,104$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 27c | 1,102$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…982dbacked No | 2c | 1,100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 32c | 1,093$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.22 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5973…5e13backed Yes | 46c | 1,083$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d88…39d8backed No | 3c | 1,056$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…7231backed Yes | 30c | 1,008$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +236.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x856c…91dcbacked No | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 22c | 1,000$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked No | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 66c | 999.98$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.02 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 22c | 999.96$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.99 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…ba4fbacked Yes | 10c | 980.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.37 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe63e…3204backed No | 15c | 976.95$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 17c | 965.11$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddac…c144backed No | 22c | 956.98$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed No | 20c | 936.13$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…64e7backed No | 57c | 849.99$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 10c | 830.57$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…d725backed No | 27c | 826.89$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.59 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 46c | 813.04$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.52 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…eceebacked No | 25c | 801.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 73c | 799.99$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +49%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7342…28c2backed No | 27c | 799.03$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in IPO and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?this page
- Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?No won
- Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?No won
- Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.