AI · resolved market
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3124a63d6499006be1e1f82c72efb4dd2706b34e193dd67839de6615e2b0f60c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $486,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $507,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $486,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 705 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0ca…66edbacked Yes | 41c | 12,315$5,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,251.18 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a2…36f2backed Yes | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…7134backed Yes | 77c | 9,099$7,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 8,440$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…de86backed Yes | 64c | 7,615$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,754.67 | 88 | 15.9%14 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 36c | 7,148$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,605.51 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e3…81ccbacked Yes | 65c | 6,050$3,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.49 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 66c | 5,611$3,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.55 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf48…6f13backed Yes | 29c | 4,848$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,428.37 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 3,826$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…7001backed No | 56c | 3,455$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa95b…2047backed No | 3c | 2,963$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea90…0f8fbacked No | 25c | 2,854$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…f145backed Yes | 57c | 2,784$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…c537backed Yes | 55c | 2,772$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.92 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.32per pick | 63cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Yes | 16c | 2,435$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.35 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…6cebbacked No | 4c | 2,403$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb764…7b1dbacked No | 4c | 2,299$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…569fbacked Yes | 77c | 2,201$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 37c | 2,041$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.12 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…e025backed No | 56c | 2,034$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.93 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x762f…b2c0backed No | 3c | 2,006$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…3d2bbacked No | 3c | 1,989$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d33…1522backed No | 4c | 1,882$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5d…6e7dbacked Yes | 75c | 1,868$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 2c | 1,793$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…1307backed Yes | 36c | 1,770$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 29c | 1,735$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.77 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…218fbacked No | 4c | 1,688$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e46…24debacked Yes | 76c | 1,686$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.21 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…b418backed Yes | 24c | 1,681$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade9…8cecbacked No | 4c | 1,675$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…a888backed Yes | 73c | 1,652$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.83 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4e…818abacked Yes | 61c | 1,639$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…b300backed Yes | 16c | 1,607$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…2078backed No | 52c | 1,579$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.56 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…829dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,574$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Yes | 65c | 1,536$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…1850backed No | 4c | 1,529$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,518$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.03 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 5c | 1,481$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 59 | 1.7%1 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5feb…0601backed No | 4c | 1,472$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7a…afb6backed No | 4c | 1,444$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 79c | 1,426$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.13 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…a320backed Yes | 33c | 1,414$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.38 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc891…faf5backed No | 4c | 1,395$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…d487backed No | 4c | 1,334$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3e…3074backed Yes | 75c | 1,329$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.09 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…5345backed Yes | 33c | 1,313$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.71 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2764…a652backed Yes | 67c | 1,245$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96fa…89ffbacked No | 3c | 1,244$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b9…ded7backed Yes | 46c | 1,238$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.14 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfda9…09d1backed Yes | 69c | 1,218$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…e13fbacked No | 3c | 1,197$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d83…f54cbacked No | 4c | 1,194$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83f1…d7fbbacked Yes | 51c | 1,194$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…141abacked No | 67c | 1,155$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.85 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1723…1795backed Yes | 70c | 1,141$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3987…d39bbacked No | 4c | 1,135$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 53c | 1,130$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.91 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813c…f6d3backed No | 4c | 1,127$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…d896backed Yes | 78c | 1,111$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.64 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 49c | 1,105$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.01 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…7d60backed No | 43c | 1,080$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed Yes | 75c | 1,063$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.75 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x385f…b6d6backed No | 4c | 1,059$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…6b65backed Yes | 33c | 1,053$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d94…57fbbacked No | 4c | 1,053$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1850…c06bbacked No | 4c | 1,046$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b6…8307backed No | 4c | 1,022$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea4f…ca38backed No | 3c | 1,021$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…d42ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,008$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.04 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 47c | 1,001$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.78 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd61d…5446backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed Yes | 12c | 983$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.04 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +5.5wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…e974backed Yes | 12c | 979$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 4c | 977.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…3ac5backed Yes | 52c | 962$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…aff0backed Yes | 45c | 961$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.55 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.30per pick | 31cpaid | +144.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked Yes | 17c | 959.08$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f4…d6debacked No | 58c | 933$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 4c | 930$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.4 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…afc0backed No | 3c | 921$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d10…0ffcbacked No | 3c | 910$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 6c | 903.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…7145backed Yes | 25c | 900$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…ae4abacked Yes | 67c | 884.1$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eca…ead6backed Yes | 51c | 872.7$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 864$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…08cbbacked Yes | 58c | 862$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked No | 48c | 860$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed No | 67c | 860$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.2 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed Yes | 47c | 854$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.62 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb976…c213backed Yes | 33c | 851$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.17 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9067…577abacked No | 3c | 848$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed Yes | 75c | 846$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdf…ae07backed No | 3c | 830$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 11c | 813.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.39 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96dc…8073backed Yes | 58c | 805.25$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 28c | 803.02$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.93 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?this page
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No won
- Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No won
- Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No won
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No won
- Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.