Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf616ba46f3bc1412a80824309a02b73ddbcd1a43a1f7a37aa161e54b812972d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 77c | 6,659$5,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.47 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 45c | 6,064$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,304.94 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 37c | 4,997$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.52 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 15c | 4,570$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.06 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 34c | 4,319$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.35 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 70c | 4,000$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.79 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 71c | 3,781$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.28 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 61c | 3,295$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.97 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 15c | 2,882$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.34 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…d87cbacked Yes | 62c | 2,400$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.88 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 46c | 1,892$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.74 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 71c | 1,775$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.22 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…28d2backed No | 1c | 1,617$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 79c | 1,497$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.71 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 2c | 1,404$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 64c | 1,400$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20eb…bc89backed Yes | 74c | 1,343$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2694…610bbacked Yes | 68c | 1,143$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…ca15backed No | 44c | 1,135$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x466a…c444backed Yes | 32c | 1,019$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.94 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked Yes | 79c | 947.42$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.75 | 210 | 34.3%72 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 47c | 938.32$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.32 | 142 | 27.5%39 W · 103 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…a156backed Yes | 61c | 906.51$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.86 | 155 | 41.9%65 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f3…ae51backed No | 50c | 899.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c8…ee9dbacked No | 28c | 898.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 69c | 875.32$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.17 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 39c | 866.99$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.5 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 2c | 851.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 23c | 822.63$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.7 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…2096backed Yes | 62c | 812.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +451.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63e…76d7backed Yes | 72c | 799.98$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 38c | 795.47$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.03 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…7489backed Yes | 48c | 775.14$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.34 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 37c | 749.97$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.49 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +16.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…22a1backed Yes | 55c | 735.86$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.86 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Yes | 49c | 720$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.2 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +11.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 46c | 685.25$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.73 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked No | 58c | 673.96$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.15 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked No | 44c | 662.3$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.69 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…5626backed Yes | 59c | 603.85$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.54 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 67c | 600$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 68c | 600$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 39c | 543.49$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.9 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 68c | 542.51$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.06 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 60c | 538.39$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.55 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed No | 38c | 519.47$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed No | 73c | 517$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.17 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a3…23ccbacked Yes | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked No | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 6c | 498.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked Yes | 80c | 496.44$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.06 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 61c | 493.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.44 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed Yes | 46c | 474.06$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.08 | 206 | 17%35 W · 171 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc038…2c07backed Yes | 64c | 469.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.16 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked No | 22c | 460$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +17.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked No | 35c | 422.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…8b40backed Yes | 64c | 405.1$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.1 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 41c | 404.31$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.53 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -14.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8d3fbacked No | 70c | 396.59$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.4 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes | 50c | 396.37$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.04 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc804…c783backed Yes | 42c | 367.44$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed No | 73c | 360$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.8 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a9…c2debacked Yes | 71c | 351.5$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 30c | 342.41$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.45 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +191.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed No | 31c | 337.6$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +52%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…869ebacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed No | 46c | 323.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.89 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +16.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +48%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd90f…b6dabacked No | 32c | 318.13$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7b…03b0backed No | 32c | 309.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 68c | 307.93$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.02 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 73c | 300$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129f…7b9ebacked Yes | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c72…3efdbacked No | 70c | 297.29$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.96 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…13b9backed No | 68c | 295.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 10c | 279.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…7d66backed Yes | 57c | 266.67$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.67 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe000…cbb1backed Yes | 30c | 262.65$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.56 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da6…c757backed Yes | 56c | 255.79$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…31f5backed No | 30c | 250$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 99 | 30.3%30 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 31c | 244.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1f…222bbacked Yes | 69c | 236.91$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.91 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 74c | 233.19$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 66c | 232.1$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.25 | 162 | 31.5%51 W · 111 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 72c | 228.06$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…f512backed Yes | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9d…8201backed Yes | 52c | 214.86$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.86 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +15.3wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed Yes | 67c | 210$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 33c | 210$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +10.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c79…fdf7backed No | 26c | 209.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…a35abacked Yes | 73c | 204.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…d6cfbacked Yes | 46c | 202.16$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9945…385bbacked Yes | 61c | 201.77$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.42 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 68c | 201$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked No | 18c | 199.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 216 | 31.9%69 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked No | 52c | 198.63$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.06 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked Yes | 61c | 196.7$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.